Tax outturn data

Tax Outturn Data - October 2019

Tables of monthly tax revenue and receipts from collecting departments#

Tax data are sometimes difficult to interpret as economic indicators, but tax outturns are among the earliest data available about the state of the economy. The Government has decided that it is important that this information about the economy should be available to market analysts, and the general public, as soon as possible.

Monthly tax outturn data are published here, usually by the end of the following month, shortly after they are reported to Ministers.

Outturns for October 2019#

Total unconsolidated tax revenue for the four months ended October 2019 was $1,528 million (4.7%) below the 2019 Budget Economic and Fiscal Update forecast and $1,913 million (6.6%) greater than last year. Corporate tax was below forecast and GST and source deductions were above forecast. Some of this variance is related to system changes at Inland Revenue. Readers are advised to refer to the receipts measure until a new monthly seasonal pattern for revenue is established.

Total unconsolidated tax receipts for the four months ended October 2019 were $34 million (0.1%) below forecast. Other persons tax, GST and Customs and excise duties were all below forecast while corporate tax and source deductions were above forecast. For further details, refer to the Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the Four Months ended 31 October 2019.

Note#

The figures reported in the spreadsheets are on an unconsolidated basis, adding to total tax, and differ from the figures reported in the monthly financial statements of the Government. The monthly financial statements are prepared on a consolidated basis, meaning they eliminate tax transactions between Departments, State-owned enterprises and Crown entities. The eliminations are included in Section III in the Monthly History spreadsheet for comparison with the figures in the financial statements of the Government.

Next Release of Tax Outturn Data#

The Treasury publishes tax outturns in conjunction with the release of the monthly Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand. Sometimes there are delays in data collection due to audits, holidays, or changes to processes. If the release date should change, a message will appear on this page and on the Treasury main page. The upcoming release dates are listed on the Treasury's Calendar of Upcoming Releases. The standard time for each release will be 10am.

Tax Revenue Outturns#

Tax revenue, which measures tax due in a given time period, entails estimation. Some tax types use taxpayers' own estimates from their tax returns. These are subject to revisions when new returns are filed, application of revenue recognition rules when assessments and payments do not reconcile, etc. Other tax types require some estimation from the tax-collecting entity because returns for the current period are usually unavailable at the time of reporting. While several checks are done, such as sampling and individually reviewing exceptionally large estimates, the nature of revenue means it is more difficult to measure than receipts. Tax revenue figures are audited independently at 30 June each year and adjustments made if necessary. For these reasons, the monthly track of many tax types may be more erratic for revenue than receipts.

Notes on Historical Data#

The “Monthly history” spreadsheet includes monthly tax receipts and revenue data from July 1990 and July 1993 respectively. Each worksheet tab contains up to four sections. The first section displays monthly cash receipts/accrual revenue by tax type. We have omitted some very minor taxes.

The second section consists of aggregates: individuals, corporates (net company, foreign-source dividends, non-resident withholding), net GST.

The third section shows the eliminations that, when removed, give Core Crown Tax and Fully Consolidated Tax respectively.

The fourth section shows tax write-offs by tax type. From June 2007, tax revenues have been reported gross of tax write-offs, whereas previously they were reported net of tax write-offs. Tax write-offs are now included separately as an expense item in the financial statements. To get a series consistent with the figures prior to June 2007, users of the data may like to subtract tax write-offs from the corresponding tax revenue line above.