14 blog posts found
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The Economic Update cycle: how, why, and when the Treasury is forecasting
Posted: 17 Jun 2021Budget 2021 capped a particularly busy forecasting and fiscal reporting year for the Treasury – one punctuated by September’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update (PREFU), which is ordinarily in... -
WEU Special Topic – Alert Level Assumptions Refresh (BEFU 2021)
Posted: 23 Apr 2021Topic: Economic forecastingSpecial Topic – Alert Level Assumptions Refresh (BEFU 2021) The economic effects of COVID-19, and the corresponding alert level restrictions and support measures that have been put in place, are now... -
WEU Special Topic - March 2021 Business Talks
Posted: 9 Apr 2021Topic: Economic forecastingSpecial Topic - March 2021 Business Talks Between 3 March and 12 March 2021, officials from the Treasury met with a range of businesses and other organisations to discuss the outlook for the economy... -
WEU Special Topic: HYEFU Business Talks
Posted: 23 Nov 2020Topic: Economic forecastingSpecial Topic: HYEFU Business Talks Between 28 October and 4 November 2020, officials from the Treasury met with a range of businesses and organisations to discuss the outlook for the economy.... -
MEI Special Topic: Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2019 Business Talks
Posted: 2 Apr 2019During the first two weeks of March, officials from the Treasury met with a range of businesses and business organisations around the country to discuss the outlook for the economy. The information... -
MEI Special Topic: 2018 HYEFU Business Talks
Posted: 25 Jan 2019Topic: Agriculture, Business cycles, Economic forecasting, Government regulation, Industry, Infrastructure, Labour forceDuring the final week of October and early November, officials from the Treasury met with a range of businesses and organisations around the country to discuss the outlook for the economy. The... -
MEI Special Topic: Treasury forecast accuracy
Posted: 25 Jan 2019Topic: Economic conditions, Economic forecasting, Economic growth, Economic indicators, Fiscal policy, Inflation, Public financeThe Treasury regularly carries out an assessment of the accuracy of our biannual forecasts: the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (BEFU) and the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU). These... -
MEI Special Topic: Illustrating Forecast Uncertainty
Posted: 2 May 2017Topic: Budget, Economic conditions, Economic forecasting, Foreign exchange, Inflation, Interest rates, UnemploymentThe Treasury publishes economic forecasts at least twice during the year. These forecasts are communicated as a central track which represents our view of the most likely path the economy will take... -
MEI Special Topic: Key Judgements for the Economic Outlook
Posted: 1 Nov 2016Topic: Budget, Construction, Consumption, Economic forecasting, Economic growth, Economic indicators, Employment, Exports, Foreign exchange, Inflation, Interest rates, Migration, Monetary policy, National accounts, Productivity, Statistics, Tourism, TradeOver the first half of 2016 the economy grew at a faster pace than was expected in the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (the Budget Update), as did tax revenue. Forward indicators suggest this... -
MEI Special Topic: Why has the current account deficit remained moderate?
Posted: 6 Sep 2016Topic: Balance of payments, Capital movements, Economic forecasting, Government securities, International finance, International investment, Investment, National accounts, SavingsThe average size of deficits recorded in the current account of the balance of payments has been relatively low in recent years. During the same period New Zealand's net external liability...