4 blog posts found
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MEI Special Topic: Illustrating Forecast Uncertainty
Posted: 2 May 2017Topic: Budget, Economic conditions, Economic forecasting, Foreign exchange, Inflation, Interest rates, UnemploymentThe Treasury publishes economic forecasts at least twice during the year. These forecasts are communicated as a central track which represents our view of the most likely path the economy will take... -
MEI Special Topic: Key Judgements for the Economic Outlook
Posted: 1 Nov 2016Topic: Budget, Construction, Consumption, Economic forecasting, Economic growth, Economic indicators, Employment, Exports, Foreign exchange, Inflation, Interest rates, Migration, Monetary policy, National accounts, Productivity, Statistics, Tourism, TradeOver the first half of 2016 the economy grew at a faster pace than was expected in the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (the Budget Update), as did tax revenue. Forward indicators suggest this... -
How to get an export take-off?
Posted: 21 Sep 2016Topic: Capital, Consumption, Economic conditions, Economic growth, Economic integration, Exports, Fiscal policy, Foreign exchange, International investment, Macroeconomics, Monetary policy, Productivity, Savings, Technological change, TradeAuthor:The New Zealand Government is targeting an increase in the ratio of real exports to GDP to 40 percent by 2025. To shed some light on what drives these transitions we looked at episodes to... -
MEI Special Topic: Implications of Brexit for the New Zealand economy
Posted: 5 Jul 2016Topic: Banks, Central banks, Economic forecasting, Economic growth, Economic impact, Exports, Financial markets, Foreign exchange, Globalisation, Government securities, International agreements, Migration, Monetary policy, Monetary unions, Primary industry, Protectionism, Service industries, Tourism, TradeOn 23 June, the UK voted 52% to 48% in a referendum to leave the EU ("Brexit"). Although the referendum was regarded as binding, it will require parliamentary approval to activate Article 50 of the...