Rangitaki: staff insights blog

Rangitaki topics cover the very broad span of the Treasury’s advisory role, from fiscal policy and commercial operations through to public accounting standards and best practice regulation.

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FEU Special Topic: The outlook for dairy exports

Posted:

20 Aug 2024

Special Topic: The outlook for dairy exports
New Zealand’s future dairy export volume and price growth will likely be slower than previously experienced and a change in the product mix is unlikely. Growth in global dairy demand will largely be met by growing supply, and existing trade barriers will limit access to some export markets.
The dairy industry is a significant contributor to the New Zealand economy…
The dairy industry has been a consistent pillar of the NZ economy over many decades, even as the economy has been transitioning towards the service sector. The success of the New Zealand dairy industry to date reflects New Zealand’s natural comparative advantage in the sector and strong export revenue growth. Dairy exports were valued at $23.7 billion in the year to March 2024, representing 24% of total export values.
Figure 1: New Zealand dairy exports (quarterly)

Source: Stats NZ, Treasury

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FEU Special Topic: The outlook for the current account

Posted:

6 Jul 2023

Special Topic: The outlook for the current account
New Zealand's current account deficit has widened considerably, owing to many factors including the disruption caused by the pandemic, poor agricultural production, and higher global interest rates.

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FEU Special Topic: Impacts from the North Island weather events

Posted:

4 May 2023

In the Fortnightly Economic Update – 28 April 2023 there was a special topic titled “Impacts from the North Island weather events”.

This had been previously published on 27 April at Impacts from the North Island weather events.

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FEU Special Topic: The outlook for services exports

Posted:

20 Apr 2023

Topic:

Economic growth,

Exports,

Tourism,

Trade

Special Topic: The outlook for services exports
COVID-19 and the closure of the border resulted in an abrupt shock to arrivals and New Zealand’s travel service exports.

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FEU Special Topic: Decomposing inflation into supply and demand drivers

Posted:

12 Apr 2023

Topic:

Balance of payments

Special Topic: Decomposing inflation into supply and demand drivers
The rise in inflation in New Zealand reflects both supply and demand factors.

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FEU Special Topic: Global financial stress and implications for New Zealand

Posted:

12 Apr 2023

Topic:

Balance of payments

Special Topic: Global financial stress and implications for New Zealand
Global banking stresses are expected to lead to higher borrowing costs and tighter bank lending standards. This could lead to less tightening by central banks.

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