Dr Peter Bushnell
Deputy Secretary to the Treasury
The Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the nine months ended 31 March 2007 were released by the Treasury today.
The 31 March 2007 monthly financial statements are compared against updated monthly forecast tracks based on the 2006 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update.
$ million | March 2007 Actual YTD |
March 2007 Forecast YTD |
Variance $m |
HYEFU June 2007 Forecast |
June 2006 Actual |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Residual cash | 2,024 | (342) | 1,682 | 107 | 2,985 |
Operating balance | 6,012 | 5,270 | 742 | 6,260 | 11,473 |
OBERAC | 5,011 | 5,270 | (259) | 6,656 | 8,648 |
Gross sovereign-issued debt | 36,335 | 37,168 | (833) | 37,867 | 35,461 |
% of GDP | 23.0 | 23.6 | (0.5) | 23.7 | 22.6 |
Net core Crown debt | 4,489 | 6,292 | (1,803) | 6,382 | 7,745 |
% of GDP | 2.8 | 4.0 | (1.2) | 4.0 | 4.9 |
Net core Crown debt with NZS Fund assets | (7,659) | (5,528) | (2,131) | (6,271) | (2,116) |
% of GDP | (4.9) | (3.5) | (1.4) | (3.9) | (1.3) |
Net worth | 87,790 | 76,728 | 11,062 | 77,718 | 71,403 |
The following table outlines the key variances for the year to 31 March 2007:
Item/indicator | Variance | Key drivers |
---|---|---|
Tax Revenue | nil | |
Net investment income (major contributor to the Operating Balance variance) | +$1.2 billion |
|
Core Crown expenditure | +$0.4 billion |
|
OBERAC | -$0.3 billion | Mainly due to delays in departmental spending, offset by write-down of tax and fines receivables above |
GSID | -$0.8 billion |
|
Net Worth | +$11.1 billion |
|
Residual cash | +$1.6 billion | Delays in departmental spending on operating ($0.6 billion in cash terms), capital ($0.4 billion) and some one-off unforecast tax receipts ($0.5 billion) |
Where appropriate, the March results have been factored into the revised annual forecast, to be released as part of the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update. In summary, the main impacts are:
-
an increased level of investment income, which will be retained by the entities, and
-
delays in departmental spending will impact on the operating balance and residual cash.
ENDS
Officer for Enquiries
Kamlesh Patel | Macroeconomic GroupTel: +64 4 471 5094
Fax: +64 4 471 5956
Email: [email protected]