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References

Baumol, William J. (1967) "Macroeconomics of unbalanced growth: the anatomy of urban crisis," American Economic Review, 57(3):415-426

Briggs, Phil (2003) “Looking at the numbers: a view of New Zealand's economic history,” Research monograph, New Zealand Institute of Economic Research

Bryant, John, Audrey Teasdale, Martin Tobias, Jit Cheung and Mhairi McHugh (2004) “Population Ageing and Government Expenditures in New Zealand, 1951-2051.” New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 04/14. Wellington, New Zealand Treasury, September 2004

Burniaux, Jean-Marc, Romain Duval and Florence Jaumotte (2003) “Coping with Ageing: A Dynamic Approach to Quantifying the Impact of Alternative Policy Options on Future Labour Supply in OECD Countries.” OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 371

Chessa, A. and F. Kleima (2006) “The Dutch experience in measuring health output and labour productivity.” Discussion paper 06002, Statistics Netherlands. http://www.cbs.nl/NR/rdonlyres/AB007F36-7BD7-4601-9A72-872E8BB1A2ED/0/200602x10pub.pdf

Congressional Budget Office (2008) "Technological change and the growth of heath care spending. A CBO paper." Washington DC, Congress of the United States. http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/89xx/doc8947/01-31-TechHealth.pdf

Congressional Budget Office (2009) The Long-Term Budget Outlook, Report, http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10297, June 2009.

Douglas, James (2006) “Measurement of Public Sector Output and Productivity,” New Zealand Treasury Policy Perspectives Paper 06/09.

Dumont, Jean-Christophe and Georges Lemaître (2005) “Counting immigrants and expatriates in OECD countries: a new perspective.” OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers No.25, Paris, OECD. http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/34/59/35043046.pdf

HM Treasury (2005) “Long-term public finance report: an analysis of fiscal sustainability.”

Irwin, Timothy and Oscar Parkyn (2009) “Improving the management of the Crown's exposure to risk”, New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 09/06.

Janssen, John (2002) “Long-term fiscal projections and their relationship with the intertemporal budget constraint: An application to New Zealand,” New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 02/04.

Medical Training Board (2009) The Future of the Medical Workforce: First Annual Report Nov 2007-Dec 2008. Wellington, Ministry of Health. http://www.moh.govt.nz/medicaltrainingboard

Ministry of Health (2008) Health and independence report 2008. Online appendix. http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/health-independence-report08

Ministry of Health (2009) Annual Report for the year ended 30 June 2009. Wellington, Ministry of Health, October 2009. http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/annual-report-2009?Open

Morgan, Gareth and Geoff Simmons (2009) Health Cheque, Public Interest Publishing.

New Zealand Treasury (2006) New Zealand's long-term fiscal position. Wellington, New Zealand Treasury, June 2006.

New Zealand Treasury (2008) "New Zealand's Productivity Performance" New Zealand Treasury Productivity Paper TPRP 08/02. http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/tprp/08-02.

Nordhaus, William D. (2006) “Baumol's Diseases: A Macroeconomic Perspective,” NBER Working Paper 12218.

OECD (2006) "Projecting OECD health and long-term care expenditures: What are the main drivers?" Economics Department Working Papers No.477, OECD, Paris. www.oecd.org/dataoecd/57/7/36085940.pdf

OECD (2008) OECD Compendium of Productivity Indicators 2008, OECD, Paris. http://www.oecd.org/document/17/0,3343,en_2649_34445_40581201_1_1_1_1,00.html

Office for National Statistics (2006) “Public service productivity: health. Office for National Statistics, February 2006. http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/article.asp?ID=1429

Office for National Statistics (2009) “Total Public Service Output and Productivity,” Report, June, http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/article.asp?ID=2212

Parham, Dean and Paul Roberts (2004) "Productivity growth and its sources: How do NZ and Australia compare?" Conference paper for workshop convened by the Treasury, RBNZ and MED, 28-29 July 2004

Preston, Samuel H., Patrick Heuveline and Michel Guillot (2001) Demography, Measuring and Modelling Population Processes, Blackwell Publishers

Productivity Commission (2005) Economic Implications of an Ageing Australia, Research Report, Canberra. http://www.pc.gov.au/projects/study/ageing/docs/finalreport

Rodway, Paul and Peter Wilson (2006) “Modelling New Zealand's Long-term Fiscal Position,” New Zealand Treasury Policy Perspectives Paper 06/01

Ryan, Michael and Kam Leong Szeto (2009) “An Introduction to the New Zealand Treasury Model,” New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 09/02 http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/wp/2009/09-02

Smith, Sheila, Joseph P. Newhouse, Mark S Freeland (2009) “Income, insurance, technology: why does health spending outpace economic growth?” Health Affairs, 28(5): 1276-1284

Statistics New Zealand (2009) “National Population Projections,” http://search.stats.govt.nz/search?w=2009%20National%20Population%20projections

Szeto, Kam Leong and Melody Guy (2004) “Estimating a New Zealand NAIRU,” New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 04/10. http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/wp/2004/04-10

Tripplett, Jack E. and Barry P. Bosworth (2003) “Productivity Measurement Issues in Services Industries: ‘Baumol's Disease' Has Been Cured,” FRBNY Economic Policy Review, September.

Werding, Martin (2007) “Ageing, Productivity and Economic Growth: A Macro-level Analysis,” Working paper, Ifo Institute for Economic Research and CESifo

Winton, Paul (2009) “New Zealand's addiction to healthcare: diagnostic, trends and initiatives to manage cost growth.” Draft for discussion. May, Auckland, Temple: Capital Investment.

Work and Income New Zealand (2009) “Rates of Superannuation,”http://www.workandincome.govt.nz/manuals-and-procedures/deskfile/main_benefits_rates/new_zealand_superannuation_tables.htm

Van der Plaug, Frederick (2006) “Sustainable Social Spending in a Greying Economy with Stagnant Public Services: Baumol's Cost Disease Revisited,” CESIFO Working Paper No. 1822.

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