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An Introduction to the New Zealand Treasury Model

Appendix 4:  Dynamic model variable list

Symbolname Label
A1 labour efficiency scale parameter
A3 imports efficiency scale parameter
A5 commodity exports inefficiency scale parameter
ALGAP asymmetric output gap
AR actual rate of return on capital
CESRATIO_EQ ratio of CEXP to CEXPS
CEXP commodity exports
CEXPS commodity exports supply (i.e, CEXP + IIE)
CON real consumption (model-basis)
CONH real consumption of housing
CONOR real private consumption (non-housing)
CONORD real equilibrum consumption
CPI_TAR annual CPI inflation target - 0.014884
CPIHOUSE CPI for housing group
CPIX consumer price index
CPIXH CPI for non-housing group
CRATIO_EQ ratio of Core Crown consumption  to total Government consumption
DGDPR real foreign debt to RGDP
DGDRATIO_EQ ratio of RZA to PUBDER
DIFD_EQ benefit-survey unemployment rates
DR_EQ depreciation rate for business capital stock
DRRB_EQ depreciation rate for housing stock
E trade weighted exchange rate index used in model
EGNA10 equilibrium government sector output
EKH equilibrium KH
EKIE equilibrium KIE
EKINR equilibrium KINR
ENCEXPG equilibrium NCEXPG
ENCEXPS equilibrium NCEXPS
EPNA10 equilibrium  PNA10
ERE equilibrium RE
EREGR growth factor for RE (model variable)
ERETURN premium on equity
ERGDP equilibrium RGDP
ERHW equilibrium RHW
ERPEXNCG equilibruim RPEXNCG
ERPEXNCS equilibruim RPEXNCS
ERPYD_H equilbrium RPYD_H
ETWIT trade weighted exchange rate
EXRSR short-run equilibrium exports
FDGDPR real foreign debt to real GDP ratio
FGDRATIO_EQ ratio of ZG/RE to PUBDER
FPDRATIO_EQ ratio of private foreign debt contracted in foreign currency to total private foreign debt
GDPZ nominal expenditure gdp
GGCOR_EQ real total Govt consumption (non-wage) -trend
GGIFR_EQ real Govt investment
GNA10 government sector output
GR equilibrium real growth factor
HW private sector hourly rate
IBAL investment balances
IBFR real private investment (non-housing)
IHR real housing investment
IIE investment in inventory (commodity good)
IINR investment in inventory (non-commodity good)
IM imports
IMC imports of consumption goods
IMCA imports of capital goods
IMCS household overseas spending
IMO imports of intermedate goods and others
IMSR short-run equilibrium IM
INF quarterly inflation rate of CPI
INF_CPIHOUSE quarterly inflation rate of CPIHOUSE
INF_CPIX inflation rate of CPI
INF_HW quarterly inflaton rate of HW
INF_PCONH quarterly inflation rate of housing services (CONH) deflator
INF_PEXNC quarterly inflaton rate of PEXNC
INF_PEXNCG quarterly inflation rate of PEXNCG
INF_PEXNCS quarterly inflation rate of PEXNCS
INF_PM quarterly inflation rate of PM
INF_PMC quarterly inflation rate of PMC
INF_PMCA quarterly inflation rate of PMCA
INF_PMCS quarterly inflation rate of PMO
INF_PMO quarterly inflation rate of PYDH
INF_PYDH quarterly inflation rate of PYDO
INF_PYDO inflation as meased by change in price of domestic good
INF_TAR inflation target
INF_TAR_EQ steady-state inflation target
INFE inflation expectation
INFNT quarterly inflation  rate of CPI non-tradables
INFNT_C average non-tradable inflation rate
INFTR quarterly inflation  rate of CPI tradables
INFTR_C average tradable inflation rate
IRATIO_EQ ratio of Core Crown investment  (cash flow statement) to total Government investment (SNA)
KBF business capital stock (start of period)
KBF1 business capital stock (end of period)
KH housing stock (start of period)
KH1 housing stock (end of period)
KIE stock of commodity goods (start of period)
KIE1 stock of commodity goods (end of period)
KINR stock of non-commodity goods (start of period)
KINR1 stock of non-commodity goods (end of period)
KSRATIO ratio of CONH to KH
KSRATIO_EQ ratio of CONH to KH
LDGDPR LOG(DGDPR/FDGDPR)
LGAP private sector production output gap
NA1 private consumption
NA10 gdp (production-based estimate)
NA11 real imports (=IM)
NA14 real expenditure based GDP
NA15 private consumption - housing
NA2 real total govt consumption
NA3 private investment - residential buildings
NA4 private business gross fixed capital formation
NA7 public gross fixed capital formation
NA8 inventory investment - non-commodity
NA9 inventory investment - commodities
NAIRU long-run unemployment rate
NCEXP non commodity exports
NCEXPG non commodity goods exports
NCEXPS non commodity services exports
NGG_EQ steady-state employment - general government -trend
NSR private sector employment  NT-NGG
NT total employment
NTHPR1 quarterly hours paid for the private sector
NTHSR quarterly hours paid for the private sector -medium run variable
NTS labour force
PAGDPR_EQ net real household financial asset to GDP ratio
PARTT labour force participation rate
PARTT_EQ steady-state labour force participation rate
PCONH nominal price of housing services
PEXC commodity export prices
PEXCF commodity export prices (in foreign currency)
PEXNC non-commodity export prices
PEXNCGF non-commodity goods export prices (in foreign currency)
PIMCAF capital goods import prices (in foreign currency)
PIMCF consumption goods import prices (in foreign currency)
PIMCSF household overseas spending import prices (in foreign currency)
PIMOF intermediate import prices (in foreign currency)
PNA10 private sector production
PNA10_EQ medium-run equilibrium private sector production
POL1 income tax rate
POL11_EQ transfers rate - other
POL12_EQ transfers rate - public sector to foreign sector
POL14_EQ transfers rate - foreign sector to private sector
POL3_EQ rate of lump sum tax
POL4_EQ rate of tax on consumption of non-housing
POL4WW mean of POL4
POL5_EQ rate of tax on imports
POL7_EQ rate of tax on consumption of housing
POL8_EQ transfers rate - superannuitants
POL9_EQ transfers rate - unemployment
POP1_EQ steady state population - aged 0-4
POP2_EQ steady state population - aged 5-14
POP3_EQ steady state population - aged 15-64
POP4_EQ steady state population - aged 65+
POPGR_EQ working-age population trend growth rate
PRHR_EQ average weekly paid hrs for private sector employees
PUBDER real public liabilities
PUBDER1 real public liabilities at the end of the quarter
PUHR_EQ average weekly paid hrs for public sector employees
PYD_C deflator for CONOR (non-housing consumption)
PYD_H deffator for IHR
PYDO The price of PYDO
RAP NZ private internatioal asset in foreign currency  at the beginning of the quarter (expressed at $nz)
RAPA NZ private internatioal assest in nz currency at the beginning of the quarter
RATB_EQ non-interest income from public to private sector
RB real domestic bonds + cumulated equity disinvestment
RCOGZ Core Crown spending including investment
RCS 90-day bank bills
RCSF foreign (weighted) 90 day interest rate
RDOS real net capital inflow
RE equilibrium real exchange rate index
RER real exchange rate index
RFDEBT NZ net foreign real debt at the start of the quarter
RFDEBT1 total NZ net foreign real debt at the end of the quarter
RGDP Model real GDP - deflated by pydo
RHW private sector hourly rate
RHWPU_EQ public sector hourly rate (trend)
RI real interest rates
RI_EQ real interest rates (trend)
RICC real issues of currency
RIF_EQ real foreign interest rates (trend)
RINCOME real household income
RL 10-yr bond rate
RLPCON price of consumption (model-basis)
RMTRANSFER_EQ real migrant transfer
RNMC net movement in cash (cash flow statement in fiscal data)
RNNPPI net purchase of non physical investment
RNZSAL real assets of NZS fund at the beginning of the quarter
RP risk premium for residential investment
RP1 risk premium for business investment
RPCONH relative price of housing services
RPCONHD equilibrium real price of housing services
RPEXC relative commodity export prices
RPEXNC relative non-commodity export prices
RPEXNCG relative non-commodity goods export prices
RPEXNCS relative non-commodity services export prices
RPFAA real financial assets owned by the private sector at the beginning of the quarter
RPKLR real long-run equilibrium price of capital services
RPM the relative price of imports
RPMC the relative price of consumption goods imports
RPMCA the relative price of capital goods imports
RPMCS the relative price of household overseas spending
RPMO the relative price of intermediate imports
RPOP3_EQ POP/(POP3+POP4)
RPPSW public sector wages deflator
RPTEX the relative price of exports
RPTLR real long-run equilibrium price of gross output
RPTSR real short-run equilibrium price of gross output
RPUBDE_EQ ratio of public debt to GDP
RPUBDOT net Govt deficit
RPUBS real government saving (crown accounts)
RPYD_C deflator for CONOR (non-housing consumption)
RPYD_GC deflator for  GGCOR
RPYD_GI deflator for GGIFR
RPYD_H deffator for IHR
RPYD_I deflator for IBFR
RPYDMR real short-run equilibrium PYD
RPYDO Relative price of PYDO = 1
RPYLR long-run equilibrium price of primary factors
RPYSR real short-run equilibrium price of primary factors
RS real 90-day rate
RSF real foreign 90-day rate
RTAX total tax take (per quarter)
RTFINZA foreign investment stock in nz at the beginning of the quarter
RTNZIAA NZ investment aboard stock at the beginning of the quarter
RTROSPR real net transfers from foreign sector to private sector
RTRPUOS net transfers from public sector to foreign sector
RTRPUPR net transfers from public sector to private sector
RWA real average earnings (nat. ac. basis): incl. payroll tax
RWEALTH real household wealth
RYOSPR real net income from foreign sector to private sector
RYOSPU real net income from foreign sector to public sector
RYPUPR real net income from public to private sector
RZG Govt foreign debt denominated in foreign currency (expressed in $NZ) at the beginning of the quarter)
RZGA real public foreign debt denominated in $NZ
RZP private foreign debt denominated in foreign currency (expressed in $NZ) at the beginning of the quarter)
RZPA real private foreign debt denominated in $NZ
SSRATIO_EQ inventory investment to sale ratio for domestic good
TBAL trade balances
TEXP real total exports
TFBAL transfer balances
TNZIAR_EQ ratio of TNZIAA to GDPZ
TOBINQ actual rate of returns on business investment - required rate of returns
TRBASE transfers base (total number of average wages paid in benefits)
TF time trend
TSR quantity of gross output
UNB sa no of people in unemployment benefit (start of quarter)
URT unemployment rate
YCURVE yield curve
YD YDO+IMC+IMCS+IMCA
YDO gross output of the private sector excluding commodity exports
YSR quantity of primary factors
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