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Productivity, Capital-Intensity and Labour Quality at Sector Level in New Zealand and the UK
New Zealand Treasury Working Paper 07/01
March 2007
Authors: Geoff Mason and Matthew Osborne
Abstract
Understanding productivity performance is important to informing policy advice on how to improve productivity and therefore New Zealand's overall economic performance. Given data limitations inherent in international productivity comparisons, this paper is not intended to inform policy in isolation but forms an important element of a wide and expanding body of evidence on the performance of the New Zealand economy. Previous international productivity comparisons involving New Zealand have been confined to the aggregate economy or to broadly-defined sectors such as manufacturing. This paper reports on a New Zealand-UK comparison which distinguishes 21 different ‘market sectors’ (ie, excluding public administration, education, health, property services and some personal, social and community services). It confirms the prevailing consensus that, in aggregate, New Zealand market sectors compare unfavourably with the UK on average labour productivity (ALP) - and by implication compare even more unfavourably with other countries such as the US. However, beneath this overall story there is considerable sectoral variation. While some NZ sectors out-perform the UK on ALP and/or multi-factor productivity (MFP), there is a large group of sectors which fall short of the UK on both productivity measures. Most of these low-productivity sectors are relatively low in physical capital-intensity compared to the UK. Overall, roughly a quarter of the New Zealand-UK gap in ALP for aggregate market sectors in 2002 was attributable to differences in employment structure such as the relatively high shares of New Zealand employment in comparatively low value added sectors such as agriculture. The remaining three quarters of the ALP gap were accounted for by within-sector productivity differences.
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- 2.1 Theoretical specification
- 2.2 Data sources and measurement issues
- 5.1 Capital stocks and capital-labour ratios
- 5.2 Relative labour quality
- 6.1 Relative ALP and MFP levels
- 6.2 Comparative growth rates in ALP and TFP
- A1 Principal data sources
- A2 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) exchange rates
- A3 Labour quality measurement
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List of Tables- Table 1 - Market sectors in New Zealand and the UK
- Table 2 - Relative levels of average labour productivity and multi-factor productivity, aggregate market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004
- Table 3 - Decomposition of New Zealand-UK differences in growth rates of average labour productivity (ALP), aggregate market sectors, 1995-2004
- Table 4 - Estimated purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rates at sector level, New Zealand and the UK, 2002 (UVR = Unit Value Ratio; E-PPP = Expenditure PPP)
- Table 5 - Average value added per hour worked and shares of total gross value added and hours worked in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 2002 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Table 6 - Average physical capital per hour worked in aggregate market sectors, analysed by capital asset-type, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: UK=1.00)
- Table 7 - Average physical capital per hour worked in market sectors, analysed by capital asset-type, New Zealand/UK, 2002 (Index numbers: UK=1.00)
- Table 8 - Employment shares and relative wage ratios, aggregate market sectors, New Zealand and UK, 2002
- Table 9 - Relative labour quality worked in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: UK=1.00)
- Table 10 - Decomposition of New Zealand-UK differences in average labour productivity (ALP) levels and multi-factor productivity (MFP) levels, 2002
- Table 11 - Average annual rates of growth in output, total hours worked and average labour productivity (ALP), New Zealand and the UK, 1995-2004
- Table 12A - Decomposition of average annual growth rates in average labour productivity (ALP) in market sectors, UK, 1995-2004
- Table 12B - Decomposition of average annual growth rates in average labour productivity (ALP) in market sectors, New Zealand, 1995-2004
- Table 13 - Shift-share decomposition of the New Zealand-UK gap in average labour productivity (ALP) in aggregate market sectors, 2002
- Appendix Table A1 - Average labour productivity in market sectors, New Zealand and UK, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Appendix Table A2 - Average physical capital per hour worked in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: UK=1.00)
- Appendix Table A3 - Relative multi-factor productivity (MFP) levels in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Appendix Table A4 - Comparisons of average labour productivity at sector level, UK, US, France and Germany, 2002 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Appendix Table A5 - Relative physical capital per hour worked, UK, US, France and Germany, 2002 (Index numbers UK = 100)
- Appendix Table A6 - Estimates of relative labour quality in the UK, US, France and Germany, 2002 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Appendix Table A2.1 - Sources for PPP estimates for New Zealand, Australia and US
- Appendix Table A3.1 - Employment in aggregate market sectors, analysed by qualifications category, 1995-2004
- Appendix Table A3.2 - Pay differentials by qualification categories in aggregate market sectors, 1995-2004 (Index numbers: Mean graduate pay=1)
List of Figures- Figure 1 - Relative ALP, MFP, physical capital per hour worked and labour quality, aggregate market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-2004
- Figure 2 - Relative ALP, physical capital-intensity and labour quality in the UK, US, France and Germany, aggregate market sectors, 2002 (Index numbers: UK=100)
- Figure 3 - Average labour productivity in market sectors, New Zealand and UK, 1995-97, 1998-2000, 2001-2003 (Index numbers: UK=100, Three-year averages)
- Figure 4 - Average physical capital per hour worked in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-97, 1998-2000, 2001-03 (Index numbers: UK=1.00, Three-year averages)
- Figure 5 - Relative multi-factor productivity (MFP) levels in market sectors, New Zealand/UK, 1995-97, 1998-2000, 2002-04 (Index numbers: UK=100, Three-year averages)
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Acknowledgements
This project has been financially supported by NZ Treasury which is not however responsible for any views expressed in this paper. We are particularly grateful to Gerard Ypma at the Groningen Growth and Development Centre for preparation of purchasing power parity exchange rates and to Joel Cook, Antony Ede and Jodi York at Statistics NZ for preparation of customised data series. We would also like to thank Carl Bakker, Max Dupuy, Brian Easton, Kevin Fox, Melody Guy, Dean Hyslop and Dean Parham for comments on earlier drafts of this paper and our colleagues Mary O’Mahony, Kate Robinson and Brigid O’Leary for advice and support during the project. Responsibility for any errors is ours alone.
Disclaimer
The views, opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Working Paper are strictly those of the author(s). They do not necessarily reflect the views of the New Zealand Treasury. The Treasury takes no responsibility for any errors or omissions in, or for the correctness of, the information contained in these working papers. The paper is presented not as policy, but with a view to inform and stimulate wider debate.
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