Appendix 2 – Further details on the model
Notation used in the model
Note – the absence of a time index implies that a variable is constant over time.
| Symbol | Definition |
|---|---|
 |
The growth rate of output per employee  |
 |
Rate of decline for age-sex-specific mortality rates |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for survivors in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for disabled people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for non-disabled people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for disabled decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for non-disabled decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for disabled survivors in age group i and sex j |
 |
Cost per person-year lived for non-disabled survivors in age group i and sex j |
 |
The health costs per person-year lived of people in group k |
 |
Total expenditures |
 |
The growth rate for the cost per person-year lived |
 |
The mortality rate for people in age group  and sex  (used when it is clear from the context whether the actual or model rates are meant) |
 |
The actual historical mortality rate for people in age group and sex |
 |
The mortality rate for people in age group and sex predicted by the model |
 |
Net transfers |
 |
Person-years lived by people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by non-disabled people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by disabled people in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by disabled decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by non-disabled decedents in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by disabled survivors in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by non-disabled survivors in age group i and sex j |
 |
Person-years lived by people in group k |
 |
The launch year for the projections |
 |
Prevalence of disability in age group i and sex j |
|
|
GDP per employee |
 |
Actual Vote Health expenditure |
 |
Expenditure on the basket of services funded under Vote Health in 1992/93 |
 |
Expenditure on the basket of services funded under Vote Health in 2001/02 |
 |
The proportion of people sex and age group who are employed |
 |
GDP |
 |
The proportion of deaths in age group i and sex j that the 2001 cause-of-death statistics attribute to “injury”. |
