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Appendix (continued)

Table A3 - Disaggregated Field of Study Distributions, Population Age 20-59: 1996-2001
Field of Study
Natural, Physical Science Info. Tech. Engineering, Related Technical Architecture & Building Agric. Environ. Health Education Management & Commerce Society and Culture Creative Arts Food, Hospitality, Personal Not Spec. Total

Total
1996 38511 11250 141237 45951 28677 86223 61275 112359 87219 20472 31557 76710 741447
2001 43521 19914 108060 34794 23952 85599 68325 117519 100503 23670 21324 38211 685425
96-01 5010 8664 -33177 -11157 -4725 -624 7050 5160 13284 3198 -10233 -38499 -56022
(13.0%) (77.0%) -(23.5%) -(24.3%) -(16.5%) -(0.7%) (11.5%) (4.6%) (15.2%) (15.6%) -(32.4%) -(50.2%) -(7.6%)

Qualifications
Higher degree
1996 13023 1059 4014 654 1401 10029 4491 6588 20661 1650 33 2106 65712
2001 14244 1788 4674 1005 1182 10140 7086 12222 23070 2166 27 4185 81789
96-01 1221 729 660 351 -219 111 2595 5634 2409 516 -6 2079 16077
(9.4%) (68.8%) (16.4%) (53.7%) -(15.6%) (1.1%) (57.8%) (85.5%) (11.7%) (31.3%) -(18.2%) (98.7%) (24.5%)
Bachelor degree
1996 17961 3159 11460 2418 4404 7485 10308 29817 42039 3648 75 4320 137106
2001 21921 5016 12750 3189 4437 18069 16776 37116 47415 6690 63 8736 182202
96-01 3960 1857 1290 771 33 10584 6468 7299 5376 3042 -12 4416 45096
(22.0%) (58.8%) (11.3%) (31.9%) (0.7%) (141.4%) (62.7%) (24.5%) (12.8%) (83.4%) -(16.0%) (102.2%) (32.9%)
Other post-school
1996 7527 7032 125763 42879 22872 68709 46476 75954 24519 15174 31449 70284 538629
2001 7356 13110 90636 30600 18333 57390 44463 68181 30018 14814 21234 25290 421434
96-01 -171 6078 -35127 -12279 -4539 -11319 -2013 -7773 5499 -360 -10215 -44994 -117195
-(2.3%) (86.4%) -(27.9%) -(28.6%) -(19.8%) -(16.5%) -(4.3%) -(10.2%) (22.4%) -(2.4%) -(32.5%) -(64.0%) -(21.8%)

Notes: Field of Study is available only for post-school qualifications. The population includes only those that specify whether they were employed, unemployed or not in the labour force. The percentages in parentheses are percentage changes in the population counts between 1996 and 2001. Changes between 1996 and 2001 in the way that respondents with ‘other post-school’ qualifications were selected and classified makes the comparison of information on field of study for non-degree post-school qualifications problematic (see footnote 9 in text).

Table A4a - Regression Analysis of Employment Growth, 1986-1991
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Higher degree 0.213 0.184 0.256 0.213 0.230
(.040) (.032) (.032) (.028) (.016)
Bachelor's degree 0.378 0.326 0.389 0.345 0.364
(.032) (.025) (.025) (.022) (.013)
Other post-school 0.279 0.330 0.340 0.338 0.358
(.015) (.012) (.012) (.011) (.006)
Higher school 0.316 0.242 0.258 0.238 0.243
(.041) (.031) (.030) (.026) (.015)
Sixth form 0.075 0.057 0.077 0.058 0.063
(.026) (.020) (.019) (.017) (.010)
School certificate 0.065 0.062 0.073 0.067 0.069
(.020) (.015) (.015) (.013) (.008)
Other school 1.260 1.215 1.255 1.231 1.226
(.091) (.069) (.067) (.058) (.034)
Not specified -0.042 -0.114 -0.100 -0.111 -0.112
(.028) (.021) (.021) (.018) (.010)
Industry Y Y Y Y
Occupation Y Y Y Y
Industry-Occupation Y Y
Rsq 0.182 0.239 0.273 0.427 0.738 0.375 0.409 0.557 0.878
Marginal Rsq
Qualifications 0.182 0.136 0.136 0.130 0.140
Industry 0.239 0.154 0.193 0.148
Occupation 0.273 0.188 0.227 0.182
Industry-Occupation 0.678 0.696

Notes: The dependent variable is dempioq,8691 = (Empioq,91 – Empioq,86)/(0.5(Empioq,86 + Empioq,91)). All specifications are based on population growth in 4473 industry-occupation-qualification cells, and are weighted by 1986 cell size, Empioq,86. The qualification-specific population changes are measured relative to the change of the no-qualifications group.

Table A4b - Regression Analysis of Employment Growth, 1991-1996
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Higher degree 0.211 0.196 0.171 0.205 0.195
(0.033) (0.027) (0.033) (0.026) (0.016)
Bachelor's degree 0.364 0.322 0.323 0.322 0.328
(0.026) (0.021) (0.027) (0.021) (0.013)
Other post-school -0.122 -0.125 -0.128 -0.115 -0.124
(0.015) (0.012) (0.015) (0.012) (0.007)
Higher school 0.523 0.507 0.490 0.501 0.507
(0.037) (0.029) (0.035) (0.028) (0.017)
Sixth form 0.397 0.396 0.376 0.394 0.401
(0.025) (0.019) (0.024) (0.019) (0.011)
School certificate 0.169 0.160 0.157 0.160 0.162
(0.020) (0.016) (0.019) (0.015) (0.009)
Other school 0.943 0.924 0.924 0.923 0.922
(0.045) (0.035) (0.042) (0.033) (0.021)
Not specified -1.421 -1.447 -1.453 -1.453 -1.459
(0.034) (0.026) (0.032) (0.025) (0.015)
Industry Y Y Y Y
Occupation Y Y Y Y
Industry-Occupation Y Y
Rsq 0.434 0.237 0.088 0.280 0.476 0.663 0.509 0.700 0.901
Marginal Rsq
Qualifications 0.434 0.426 0.421 0.420 0.425
Industry 0.237 0.192 0.229 0.191
Occupation 0.088 0.043 0.075 0.037
Industry-Occupation 0.678 0.467

Notes: The dependent variable is dempioq,9196 = (Empioq,96 – Empioq,91)/(0.5(Empioq,91 + Empioq,96)). All specifications are based on population growth in 4646 industry-occupation-qualification cells, and are weighted by 1991 cell size, Empioq,91. The qualification-specific population changes are measured relative to the change of the no-qualifications group.

Table A4c - Regression Analysis of Employment Growth, 1996-2001
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Higher degree 0.431 0.335 0.304 0.290 0.289
(0.021) (0.018) (0.021) (0.018) (0.015)
Bachelor's degree 0.498 0.431 0.379 0.370 0.365
(0.016) (0.014) (0.016) (0.014) (0.011)
Other post-school -0.008 -0.051 -0.058 -0.064 -0.063
(0.011) (0.009) (0.011) (0.009) (0.007)
Higher school 0.427 0.408 0.398 0.401 0.397
(0.020) (0.017) (0.019) (0.017) (0.013)
Sixth form 0.410 0.401 0.389 0.397 0.397
(0.015) (0.013) (0.014) (0.012) (0.010)
School certificate 0.433 0.422 0.422 0.422 0.423
(0.014) (0.012) (0.013) (0.011) (0.009)
Other school 0.236 0.233 0.222 0.228 0.229
(0.020) (0.017) (0.018) (0.016) (0.013)
Not specified 0.849 1.099 0.956 1.073 1.178
(0.032) (0.030) (0.034) (0.029) (0.024)
Industry Y Y Y Y
Occupation Y Y Y Y
Industry-Occupation Y Y
Rsq 0.410 0.150 0.109 0.230 0.390 0.579 0.484 0.627 0.792
Marginal Rsq
Qualifications 0.410 0.429 0.375 0.397 0.402
Industry 0.150 0.121 0.169 0.143
Occupation 0.109 0.080 0.074 0.048
Industry-Occupation 0.678 0.382

Notes: The dependent variable is dempioq,9601 = (Empioq,01 – Empioq,96)/(0.5(Empioq,96 + Empioq,01)). All specifications are based on population growth in 4948 industry-occupation-qualification cells, and are weighted by 1996 cell size, Empioq,96. The qualification-specific population changes are measured relative to the change of the no-qualifications group.

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