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Research Using Administrative Data to Support the Work of the Expert Panel on Modernising Child, Youth and Family

Appendix 2: Non-fiscal indicators

Table 3 shows the non-fiscal outcome assumptions for each of the scenarios modelled. The data in the table is presented in Figures 1, 3, 4 and 5 in the body of the note.

Appendix Table 3 - Comparisons for each scenario sub-population
Characteristic Minimise childrens vulnerability Equitable Māori Outcomes Regional Convergence Human Capital Investment
High Risk Others Māori Non-Māori Other Regions Auck/Well/Chch NCEA < L2 NCEA l2+
Older sibling had CYF notification prior to child's birth 12.4% 0.8% 4.7% 1.4% 2.6% 1.5% 4.5% 1.1%
Caregiver had served corrections sentence prior to child's birth 40.3% 5.2% 26.3% 4.9% 11.5% 6.3% 18.5% 5.3%
Family was supported by welfare at child's birth 81.5% 13.9% 48.5% 14.7% 25.2% 16.8% 35.4% 15.5%
Child had CYF notification prior to age 5 47.2% 3.7% 18.8% 5.7% 10.4% 5.9% 16.2% 5.1%
Caregiver with corrections sentence whilst child less than 5 40.3% 5.2% 26.3% 4.9% 11.5% 6.3% 18.5% 5.3%
Family supported by welfare whilst child less than 5 92.8% 24.7% 70.4% 23.1% 37.2% 26.6% 53.3% 23.8%
Child spent at least 1 night in hospital aged less than 5 46.3% 24.7% 40.8% 23.9% 31.3% 23.2% 34.0% 24.3%
Child had CYF notification whilst aged 5 to 12 45.6% 7.0% 24.0% 8.0% 12.4% 9.5% 22.9% 6.7%
Caregiver with corrections sentence whilst child aged 5 to 12 44.4% 5.7% 29.1% 5.3% 12.3% 7.2% 20.4% 5.7%
Family supported by welfare whilst child aged 5 to 12 81.7% 23.6% 62.0% 22.4% 33.5% 25.9% 50.1% 22.2%
Child spent at least 1 night in hospital whilst  aged 5 to 12 27.9% 18.0% 26.5% 17.4% 20.9% 17.4% 23.4% 17.5%
Child had CYF notification whilst aged 13 to 17 43.1% 9.0% 27.3% 9.2% 13.4% 11.5% 27.1% 7.3%
Caregiver with corrections sentence whilst child aged 13 to 17 35.0% 4.3% 22.6% 4.1% 9.5% 5.5% 16.0% 4.3%
Family supported by welfare whilst child aged 13 to 17 54.6% 14.8% 39.8% 14.3% 20.0% 17.7% 34.1% 13.4%
Child spent at least 1 night in hospital aged 13 to 17 27.6% 14.9% 24.7% 14.3% 17.2% 15.3% 24.2% 13.4%
Changed high school at least once 50.6% 27.1% 43.3% 26.4% 30.6% 28.4% 46.2% 23.6%
Left school before turning 18 69.7% 48.3% 63.4% 47.6% 53.2% 48.1% 73.1% 42.6%
Truant, suspended or stood down from school 56.6% 18.5% 46.1% 17.3% 23.9% 21.0% 46.0% 14.2%
Did not achieve NCEA level 2 equivalent 56.8% 22.1% 45.2% 21.3% 26.3% 24.8%    
Referred to CYF Youth Justice services 19.3% 3.0% 12.7% 2.9% 5.9% 3.5% 13.1% 1.7%
Parent before aged 20 24.1% 5.6% 20.3% 4.7% 8.8% 6.2% 17.8% 3.8%
Used drug or alcohol addiction services before 20 10.0% 2.2% 6.8% 2.2% 3.7% 2.4% 8.0% 1.3%
Served Corrections sentence before age 21 23.4% 4.5% 16.1% 4.3% 8.3% 4.7% 17.1% 2.6%
Served custodial sentence before aged 21 9.0% 1.0% 5.4% 1.0% 2.4% 1.3% 5.6% 0.5%
Received welfare benefit for more than 2 years before 21 25.1% 5.2% 17.6% 5.0% 8.6% 6.0% 20.2% 2.7%
Child ever had CYF notification 72.4% 14.9% 42.9% 15.8% 18.2% 23.4% 40.3% 13.7%
Family supported by welfare 25% of time aged 0-4 or 5-12 or 13-17 95.6% 33.9% 76.8% 32.2% 36.2% 44.6% 62.9% 32.1%
Child spent at least 1 night in hospital whilst  aged 0-17 68.2% 43.9% 64.1% 42.5% 42.4% 51.1% 56.9% 42.6%
On track at 21 40.7% 77.4% 50.6% 78.7% 70.4% 76.6% 45.1% 83.6%
Cohort numbers 5,508 50,799 9,747 46,563 25,029 31,278 14,337 41,970
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