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5 Summary

The note has used integrated administrative data from the IDI (Integrated Data Infrastructure at Statistics New Zealand) to provide measures of potential fiscal impacts of four aspirational social investment scenarios. It has used two large analytical datasets created from earlier Treasury projects that created predictive risk models and projected future fiscal costs at a microdata level. These datasets meant we could create a descriptive picture of potential non-fiscal outcomes and estimate fiscal impacts of these targeted social investment scenarios. The descriptions of the scenarios and the resulting estimated fiscal trajectories can be found in Burton et al (2016).

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