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Research Using Administrative Data to Support the Work of the Expert Panel on Modernising Child, Youth and Family

4.2 Understanding the association between risk and future fiscal costs

The resulting large micro-level datasets (approx. 60,000 records in the 1993 cohort, and approx. 800,000 records in the current population of children aged less than 15) allow us to examine the association between risk and future fiscal costs and to do this for different sub-populations.

Figure 8 shows the level of projected welfare costs (per person, up to age 35), how this varies from high to low risk, and the estimated impact under each scenario.

Figure 8: Risk and future welfare costs
Figure 8: Risk and future welfare costs.

Figure 9 shows the level of projected corrections costs (per person, up to age 35), how this varies from high to low risk, and the estimated impact under each scenario.

Figure 9: Risk and future corrections costs
Figure 9: Risk and future corrections costs.
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