Media statement

Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the Seven Months Ended 31 January 2015

Paul Helm, Chief Government Accountant

The Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the seven months ended 31 January 2015 were released by the Treasury today.  These statements are compared against forecasts based on the 2014 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) released on 16 December 2014.  

The total Crown's operating balance before gains and losses (OBEGAL) was a surplus of $77 million in the seven-month period until January. This was $712 million above forecast, reflecting higher tax revenue and lower core Crown expenses. OBEGAL fluctuates month to month due to the seasonal nature of tax revenue and some expense trends.

Core Crown tax revenue at $37.8 billion was 1.2% ($456 million) above forecast. This variance was mainly due to higher than expected corporate tax ($158 million), other individuals tax ($158 million) and source deductions ($146 million). Partially offsetting these, GST was $95 million lower than forecast primarily due to higher than forecast refunds to insurers.

Core Crown expenses, at $41.4 billion, were $249 million lower than forecast.  This variance is spread over a number of departments.

Net gains and losses on non-financial instruments were $4.6 billion lower than forecast, mainly due to a higher than expected actuarial loss on the ACC liability. This variance reflected weaker interest rates and a weaker inflation outlook. As a result, the operating balance was below forecast by $3.0 billion.  

The core Crown residual cash deficit (at $2.4 billion) was $763 million lower than forecast, mainly due to tax receipts being $665 million more than forecast. 

Net debt at $61.8 billion, (26.1% of GDP) was $1.2 billion lower than forecast, largely reflecting the residual cash result and more currency in circulation from the holiday period. 

Gross debt at $87.2 billion (36.8% of GDP) was $3.6 billion higher than forecast but was matched by an increase in financial assets with no flow on impact to net debt. 

At 31 January, total Crown assets were valued at $263.1 billion and liabilities were $184.6 billion while the Crown’s share of net worth stood at $73.3 billion.

The Treasury’s next updated economic and fiscal forecasts will be published on 21 May 2015. 

  Year to date Full Year
$ million January
2015
Actual1
January
2015
HYEFU
Forecast1
Variance
to
HYEFU
$m
Variance
to
HYEFU
%
June
2015
HYEFU
Forecast2
Core Crown          
Core Crown tax revenue 37,779 37,323 456 1.2 65,626
Core Crown revenue 40,971 40,494 477 1.2 71,466
Core Crown expenses 41,427 41,676 249 0.6 73,018
Core Crown residual cash (2,398) (3,161) 763 24.1 (4,009)
Gross debt3 87,232 83,644 (3,588) (4.3) 80,289
as a percentage of GDP 36.8% 35.3%     33.6%
Net debt4 61,784 62,954 1,170 1.9 63,494
as a percentage of GDP 26.1% 26.6%     26.5%
Total Crown          
Operating balance before gains and losses 77 (635) 712 112.1 (572)
Operating balance (2,279) 724 (3,003) (414.8) 1,900
Net worth attributable to the Crown 73,275 76,240 (2,965) (3.9) 77,376
  1. Using GDP for the year ended 30 September 2014 of $236,757 million (Source: Statistics New Zealand).
  2. Using forecast GDP for the year ended 30 June 2015 of $239,188 million (Source: The Treasury).
  3. Gross sovereign-issued debt excluding settlement cash and Reserve Bank bills.
  4. Net core Crown debt excluding student loans and other advances.  Net debt may fluctuate during the year largely reflecting the timing of tax receipts.

ENDS

Officer for Enquiries

Kamlesh Patel | Office of the Government Accountant
Tel: +64 4 917 6094
Email: [email protected]