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Guest Lecture: Judy Lawrence - Can we provide dynamic adaptive policy to address uncertainty and changing risk profiles?

Page updated Feb 09, 2017

Event Details

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Presentation material for Judy Lawrence's lecture presented at the Treasury on 8 February 2017.

Abstract

Implementing climate-resilient policy pathways in conditions of uncertainty and change is a serious policy and implementation challenge. Approaches have been developed for this type of problem, originating from operations research and mainly applied in strategic defence and large infrastructure policy settings globally. The Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways planning approach, first developed in the Netherlands and tested in New Zealand over the last 4 years, is now forming the basis of climate change adaptation practice in New Zealand. Will it enable us to manage changing risk profiles with minimum disruption from climate change impacts and policies to address them? Does it have traction for addressing similar types of policy problems in other domains? This lecture will discuss the following. 

  • The nature of uncertain and changing policy problems
  • How they have been typically addressed through policy and practice
  • The Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways planning approach (DAPP)
  • The application of DAPP in New Zealand
  • What to takes to catalyse its uptake including the role of a serious simulation game facilitated by a knowledge broker
  • Enabling requirements necessary for embedding adaptive planning into decision-making practice for addressing uncertainty and change
  • The relevance of the DAPP to other domains

About Judy Lawrence

Dr Judy Lawrence is a Research Fellow at the New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University Wellington (VUW). Judy currently leads the Cascading Climate Change Impacts and Implications project within the Deep South National   Science Challenge and contributes to the Resilience Governance and The Living Edge projects within the Resilience National Science Challenge.  Judy is Co-chair of the Governments Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Group. 

Judy has led the development and implementation of the Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP) planning approach to address changing natural hazard and climate change risk profiles and uncertainty in New Zealand. She has done this in collaboration with her colleagues at Deltares, the Netherlands and New Zealand local government agencies, and with other international collaborations through the Society for Decision-Making under Deep Uncertainty http://www.deepuncertainty.org/ of which she is the Membership Chair. 

Note: Papers, presentation slides and any other material provided by the Guest Lecturer will be made available some time after the lecture at Publications > Media & Speeches > Guest Lectures by Visiting Academics.