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Summary of Options

Summary of Options

Option

(in addition to annual CPI-based increases)

Revenue
$m total over 4 years
Progress to 2025 Smoke-free Goal
(estimate by 2021)
Financial impact on households
On average smoker
(12 per day)
Impact on Tobacco suppliers
1.   10% each 1 Jan for 4 years 528 Prevalence ↓ 7%
Consumption ↓ 13
Deaths  ↓ 300-350pa

By 2016

  • 32% real price increase
  • $1130 per year at 12 per day, or reduce smoking 24% to spend no more
Lowest
2.   10% on Budget night then 10% each 1 Jan for 4 years 755 Prevalence↓ 9%
Consumption ↓ 16
Deaths↓ 350-425pa

By 2016

  • 43% real price increase
  • $1490 per year at 12 per day, or reduce smoking 29% to spend no more
 
3.   30% on Budget night then 10% each 1 Jan 4 years 1,018

Prevalence↓ 12%
Consumption↓ 20
Deaths↓ 600-700pa

Large "shock" increase may prompt a major jump in quit attempts.

By 2016

  • 63% real price increase
  • $2200 per year at 12 per day, or reduce smoking 38% to spend no more
Highest
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