Note 25: Insurance Liabilities
|
Forecast 30 June 2012 |
Actual | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Budget 11 $m |
Budget 12 $m |
30 June 2012 $m |
30 June 2011 $m |
|
By entity |
||||
| 27,687 | 29,433 | ACC liability | 30,648 | 26,939 |
| 2,785 | 8,643 | EQC property damage liability | 8,877 | 10,570 |
| - | 1,764 | Southern Response (formerly AMI insurance) | 2,062 | 2,082 |
| 61 | 65 | Other insurance liabilities | 48 | 59 |
| - | - | Inter-segment eliminations | (449) | (336) |
| 30,533 | 39,905 | Total insurance liabilities | 41,186 | 39,314 |
By component |
||||
| Outstanding claims liability | 38,695 | 36,422 | ||
| Unearned premium liability | 2,293 | 2,572 | ||
| Unearned premium liability deficiency | 198 | 320 | ||
| Other | - | - | ||
| Total insurance liabilities | 41,186 | 39,314 | ||
By maturity |
||||
| 8,152 | 9,425 | Expected to be settled within one year | 8,850 | 8,880 |
| 22,381 | 30,480 | Expected to be outstanding for more than one year | 32,336 | 30,434 |
| 30,533 | 39,905 | Total insurance liabilities | 41,186 | 39,314 |
Assets arising from insurance obligations are: |
||||
| Receivables for premiums | 2,898 | 3,101 | ||
| Reinsurance claim recoveries | 5,003 | 5,381 | ||
Information on insurance expenses can be found in note 11. Additional information on the risks and uncertainties in relation to the Canterbury earthquakes can be found in note 30.
The Crown acquired effective control of AMI on 7 April 2011. On 5 April 2012 the on-going insurance business was sold to IAG while Southern Response continues to hold claims in relation to the Canterbury earthquakes.
The objectives, policies and procedures for managing these risks are set out in the governing statutes and policy documents of each entity.
All assets held by the three insurance entities are considered available to back present and future claims obligations. There are no deferred acquisition costs (eg, marketing costs) in respect of insurance obligations at the reporting date.
Analysis of insurance liabilities
The remainder of the note provides a detailed analysis of the ACC, EQC and Southern Response insurance liabilities. Further information on these liabilities may also be found in the annual reports of each of these entities and on their respective websites. The analysis includes a breakdown of the outstanding claims liability, unearned premium liability, and the unearned premium liability deficiency.
The outstanding claims liability is the present value of the central estimate of expected payments for claims incurred plus a risk margin.
The unearned premium liability represents premiums received in advance of the insured period.
The unearned premium liability deficiency is the extent that the unearned premium liability is insufficient to cover expected future claims (ie, payments for future injuries within the period covered by the premiums received).
Analysis of ACC insurance liability
ACC's insurance obligations arise primarily from the accident compensation scheme provision of personal injury cover for all New Zealand citizens, residents and temporary visitors to New Zealand.
An independent actuarial estimate by PricewaterhouseCoopers, consulting actuaries, has been made of the future expenditure relating to injuries which occurred prior to balance date, whether or not the claims have been reported to or accepted by ACC. The PricewaterhouseCoopers actuarial report was signed by Mr Paul Rhodes and Mr Ross Simmonds, Fellows of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (UK), and Mr Chris Latham, a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia. Mr Rhodes, Mr Simmonds and Mr Latham are also Fellows of the New Zealand Society of Actuaries.
The actuary is satisfied with the nature, sufficiency and accuracy of the data used to determine the outstanding claims liability.
| Actual | ||
|---|---|---|
|
30 June 2012 $m |
30 June 2011 $m |
|
| The ACC liability comprises: | ||
| ACC outstanding claims liability | 28,396 | 24,510 |
| ACC unearned premium liability | 2,183 | 2,429 |
| ACC unearned premium liability deficiency | 69 | - |
| Total ACC liability | 30,648 | 26,939 |
Analysis of Outstanding ACC Claims Liability |
||
| Undiscounted outstanding claims liability | 73,151 | 74,895 |
| Discount adjustment | (47,997) | (53,174) |
| Risk margin | 3,242 | 2,789 |
| Total outstanding ACC claims liability | 28,396 | 24,510 |
| Expected future claims payments - central estimate | 23,497 | 20,374 |
| Claims handling expenses | 1,657 | 1,347 |
| Outstanding claims liability before risk margin | 25,154 | 21,721 |
| Risk margin | 3,242 | 2,789 |
| Total outstanding ACC claims liability | 28,396 | 24,510 |
Movement in Outstanding ACC Claims Liability |
||
| Opening balance | 24,510 | 24,430 |
| Claims incurred for the year | 3,234 | 3,652 |
| Claims paid out in the year | (2,918) | (2,896) |
| Discount rate unwind | 727 | 832 |
Experience adjustments (actuarial gains and losses): |
||
| - actual and assumed claim experience | (1,933) | (1,966) |
| - change in discount rate | 5,084 | 862 |
| - change in inflation rate | (209) | 108 |
| - change in other economic assumptions | - | - |
| Other movements | (99) | (512) |
| Closing outstanding ACC claims liability | 28,396 | 24,510 |
Movement in ACC Unearned Premium Liability |
||
| Opening balance | 2,429 | 2,462 |
| Earning of premiums previously deferred | (2,429) | (2,462) |
| Deferral of premiums on current year contracts | 2,183 | 2,429 |
| Other | - | - |
| Closing ACC unearned premium liability | 2,183 | 2,429 |
Claims development historical analysis
The following table shows the development of ACC's undiscounted claims cost estimates for the seven most recent accident years.
|
2006 $m |
2007 $m |
2008 $m |
2009 $m |
2010 $m |
2011 $m |
2012 $m |
30 June 2012 $m |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate of ultimate claims costs: | ||||||||
| At the end of the | ||||||||
| accident year | 3,200 | 3,873 | 5,502 | 7,103 | 7,035 | 7,517 | 6,877 | |
| One year later | 3,613 | 4,868 | 6,709 | 6,733 | 6,739 | 6,288 | - | |
| Two years later | 4,358 | 5,860 | 6,470 | 6,714 | 5,939 | - | - | |
| Three years later | 5,034 | 5,944 | 6,412 | 6,045 | - | - | - | |
| Four years later | 5,207 | 6,230 | 5,736 | - | - | - | - | |
| Five years later | 5,186 | 5,768 | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Six years later | 4,925 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Current estimate of cumulative claim costs | 4,925 | 5,768 | 5,736 | 6,045 | 5,939 | 6,288 | 6,877 | 41,578 |
| Cumulative payments | (1,472) | (1,643) | (1,725) | (1,592) | (1,267) | (1,093) | (699) | (9,491) |
| Outstanding claims undiscounted | 3,453 | 4,125 | 4,011 | 4,453 | 4,672 | 5,195 | 6,178 | 32,087 |
| Discount | (22,130) | |||||||
| Claims handling costs | 1,866 | |||||||
| 2005 and prior claims | 16,558 | |||||||
| Short tail outstanding claims | 15 | |||||||
| Total outstanding ACC claims liability | 28,396 |
| Actual | ||
|---|---|---|
|
30 June 2012 $m |
30 June 2011 $m |
|
Analysis of ACC unearned premium liability deficiency |
||
| Unearned premium liability | 2,183 | 2,429 |
| Adjusted for unearned premium relating to residual claims and premium liabilities without deficiency | (339) | (2,429) |
| Adjusted ACC unearned premium liability | 1,844 | - |
| Central estimate of discounted cash flows for future claims | 1,636 | - |
| Central estimate of discounted future reinsurance recoveries | - | - |
| Risk margin | 277 | - |
| Present value of expected cash flows for future accident claims | 1,913 | - |
| Total ACC unearned premium liability deficiency | 69 | - |
Unearned premiums relating to residual claims are excluded from this calculation as they relate to accidents that occurred prior to 1999.
