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Fiscal Indicator Analysis - Debt

as at 30 June 2011

Fiscal Indicator Analysis - Debt as at 30 June 2011
Forecast
30 June 2011
Actual
Budget 10
$m
Budget 11
$m
30 June 2011
$m
30 June 2010
$m

Gross and net debt analysis:

89,416 91,003 Total borrowings 90,245 69,733

Net debt:

73,196 76,945 Core Crown borrowings1 76,885 58,583
(31) (167) Add back NZS Fund holdings of sovereign-issued debt and NZS Fund borrowings 405 308
73,165 76,778 Gross sovereign-issued debt2 77,290 58,891
61,317 65,089 Less core Crown financial assets3 65,400 57,209
11,848 11,689 Net core Crown debt (including NZS Fund)4 11,890 1,682
16,575 17,854 Add back NZS Fund holdings of core Crown financial assets and NZS Fund financial assets5 16,159 14,189
28,423 29,543 Net core Crown debt (excluding NZS Fund)4 28,049 15,871
11,542 11,959 Advances 12,079 10,867
39,965 41,502 Net core Crown debt (excluding NZS Fund and advances)6 40,128 26,738

Gross debt:

73,165 76,778 Gross sovereign-issued debt2 77,290 58,891
(7,796) (6,800) Less Reserve Bank settlement cash and bank bills (6,470) (6,900)
1,600 1,600 Add back changes to DMO borrowing due to settlement cash7 1,600 1,600
66,969 71,578 Gross sovereign-issued debt excluding settlement cash and bank bills 72,420 53,591

1. Core Crown borrowings in this instance includes unsettled purchases of securities (classified as accounts payable in the statement of financial position).

2. Gross Sovereign-Issued Debt (GSID) represents debt issued by the sovereign (the core Crown) and includes Government stock held by the New Zealand Superannuation Fund (NZS Fund), ACC and EQC.

3. Core Crown financial assets exclude receivables.

4. Net core Crown debt represents GSID less financial assets. This can provide information about the sustainability of the Government's accounts, and is used by some international agencies when determining the creditworthiness of a country.

5. Adding back the NZS Fund assets provides the financial liabilities less financial assets of the core Crown, excluding those assets set aside to meet part of the future cost of New Zealand superannuation.

6. Net core Crown debt (excluding NZS Fund and advances) excludes financial assets which are held for public policy rather than treasury management purposes.

7. The Reserve Bank has used $1.6 billion of settlement cash to purchase reserves that were to have been funded by the NZ Debt Management Office borrowing. Therefore, the impact of settlement cash on GSID is adjusted by this amount.

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