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Monthly Economic Indicators

New Zealand Key Economic Data

29 November 2012

Quarterly Indicators

Quarterly Indicators
    2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Real production GDP qtr % chg[1] 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.6 ...
ann ave % chg 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 ...
Real private consumption qtr % chg[1] 0.3 0.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 ...
ann ave % chg 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.4 ...
Real public consumption qtr % chg[1] 0.4 -0.2 1.1 -0.6 -0.3 0.8 ...
ann ave % chg 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 ...
Real residential investment qtr % chg[1] -1.2 -9.5 1.3 4.1 0.9 5.7 ...
ann ave % chg 3.8 -4.9 -11.1 -11.7 -11.8 -3.8 ...
Real non-residential investment qtr % chg[1] 1.6 -2.6 -1.1 0.7 2.0 2.8 ...
ann ave % chg 6.9 10.6 10.0 5.7 2.2 1.1 ...
Export volumes qtr % chg[1] 1.6 -0.2 0.6 3.7 -2.2 -1.2 ...
ann ave % chg 2.8 2.1 1.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 ...
Import volumes qtr % chg[1] -2.9 2.9 2.0 -2.1 3.8 -3.0 ...
ann ave % chg 11.6 11.5 10.7 6.7 6.2 4.0 ...
Nominal GDP - expenditure basis ann ave % chg 4.7 4.9 4.7 3.7 3.4 3.5 ...
Real GDP per capita ann ave % chg 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 ...
Real Gross National Disposable Income ann ave % chg 2.2 2.6 2.7 1.7 1.9 1.0 ...

External Trade

Current account balance (annual) NZ$ millions -7,176 -7,422 -8,826 -8,268 -9,033 -10,087 ...
% of GDP -3.7 -3.8 -4.4 -4.1 -4.5 -4.9 ...
Investment income balance (annual) NZ$ millions -9,812 -9,672 -10,507 -10,656 -10,340 -10,793 ...
Merchandise terms of trade qtr % chg 0.8 2.4 -0.6 -1.5 -2.3 -2.6 ...
ann % chg 6.7 7.1 3.4 1.0 -2.1 -6.8 ...

Prices

CPI inflation qtr % chg 0.8 1.0 0.4 -0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3
ann % chg 4.5 5.3 4.6 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.8
Tradable inflation ann % chg 3.7 5.5 4.6 1.1 0.3 -1.1 -1.2
Non-tradable inflation ann % chg 5.2 5.2 4.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3
GDP deflator ann % chg 4.3 4.5 3.2 0.8 1.0 2.3 ...
Consumption deflator ann % chg 3.6 4.6 3.7 1.7 1.5 1.1 ...

Labour Market

Employment (HLFS) qtr % chg[1] 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 -0.2 -0.4
ann % chg[1] 1.7 2.0 1.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0
Unemployment rate %[1] 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.8 7.3
Participation rate %[1] 68.5 68.4 68.4 68.3 68.7 68.4 68.4
LCI salary & wage rates - total (adjusted)[5] qtr % chg 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5
ann % chg 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9
QES average hourly earnings - total[5] qtr % chg 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.1 1.4 0.1 1.1
ann % chg 2.6 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.8 2.9 2.8
Labour productivity[6] ann ave % chg -0.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 0.4 1.3 ...

Retail Sales

Core retail sales volume qtr % chg[1] 1.2 1 1.7 3.3 -1.6 0.9 -0.3
ann % chg 1.4 1.9 3.3 7.3 4.3 4.3 1.8
Total retail sales volume qtr % chg[1] 1.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 -0.8 1.3 -0.4
ann % chg 0.7 1.1 2.9 6.4 4.2 4.8 2.3

Confidence Indicators/Surveys

               
WMM - consumer confidence[3] Index 98 112 112 101 102 100 103
QSBO - general business situation[4] net % -26.8 26.6 24.6 0.1 13.0 -4.1 8.0
QSBO - own activity outlook[4] net % -1.6 18.4 30.0 9.9 16.9 8.1 17.7

Monthly Indicators

Monthly Indicators
    2012M05 2012M06 2012M07 2012M08 2012M09 2012M10 2012M11

External Sector

Merchandise trade - exports mth % chg[1] 1.8 1.8 -2.3 -1.0 4.5 -8.0 ...
ann % chg[1] -4.1 5.7 9.1 -3.5 -4.0 -10.9 ...
Merchandise trade - imports mth % chg[1] -1.8 12.5 0.0 -8.4 5.9 -13.7 ...
ann % chg[1] 2.7 3.6 9.5 0.0 -3.6 1.7 ...
Merchandise trade balance (12 month total) NZ$ million -850 -763 -768 -888 -875 -1367 ...
Visitor arrivals number[1] 211,800 216,550 208,780 220,330 211,490 207,910 ...
Visitor departures number[1] 208,080 221,580 217,760 214,710 210,930 215,000 ...

Housing

Dwelling consents - residential mth % chg[1] -7.0 6.6 2.9 2.8 7.8 ... ...
ann % chg[1] 20.5 28.3 26.3 0.3 22.0 ... ...
House sales - dwellings mth % chg[1] 15.9 -3.8 0.3 1.5 -8.0 17.7 ...
ann % chg[1] 24.4 17.3 19.9 16.2 8.0 32.6 ...
REINZ - house price index mth % chg 1.7 0.3 -0.7 1.3 0.6 1.5 ...
ann % chg 6.4 5.3 5.2 6.1 5.0 6.9 ...

Private Consumption

Electronic card transactions - total retail mth % chg[1] 0.8 0.5 -1.3 2.7 -0.6 0.4 ...
ann % chg 6.1 5.5 1.1 7.1 4.1 3.2 ...
New car registrations mth % chg[1] 3.6 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -3.4 9.8 ...
ann % chg 10.3 11.7 10.8 0.8 6.7 21.4 ...

Migration

Permanent & long-term arrivals number[1] 7,010 7,790 6,710 6,900 7,230 7,370 ...
Permanent & long-term departures number[1] 6,900 7,250 7,310 7,150 7,090 7,110 ...
Net PLT migration (12 month total) number -3,653 -3,191 -3,799 -4,118 -3,280 -2,319 ...

Commodity Prices

Brent oil price US$/Barrel 110.24 95.29 102.79 113.36 112.95 111.92 109.29
WTI oil price US$/Barrel 94.7 82.41 87.93 94.16 94.72 89.57 86.45
ANZ NZ commodity price index mth % chg 0.7 -3.4 -2.9 -0.8 2.9 1.1 ...
ann % chg -15.9 -16.1 -15.1 -14.4 -13.2 -12.5 ...
ANZ world commodity price index mth % chg -4.4 -2.4 -0.4 0.5 3.4 1.3 ...
ann % chg -17.5 -18.7 -18.6 -15.8 -12.2 -8.7 ...

Financial Markets

NZD/USD $[2] 0.7762 0.7801 0.7982 0.8098 0.8174 0.8198 0.8190
NZD/AUD $[2] 0.7766 0.7813 0.7757 0.7733 0.7867 0.7967 0.7874
Trade weighted index (TWI) June 1979 = 100[2] 70.04 70.86 72.31 72.85 72.80 73.12 73.37
Official cash rate (OCR) % 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50
90 day bank bill rate %[2] 2.59 2.61 2.67 2.64 2.64 2.65 2.64
10 year govt bond rate %[2] 3.66 3.41 3.40 3.66 3.58 3.51 3.47

Confidence Indicators/Surveys

ANZ Bank - business confidence net % 27.1 12.6 15.1 19.5 17.0 17.2 26.4
ANZ Bank - activity outlook net % 34.9 20.8 24.0 26.4 29.3 25.5 31.6
ANZ-Roy Morgan - consumer confidence net % 113.9 105.8 110.5 114.1 111.9 110.5 114.1
Performance of Manufacturing Index Index 55.1 49.1 49.3 47.5 49.1 53.6 ...
Performance of Services Index Index 55.3 52.7 51.8 50.3 51.8 57.7 ...

 

Abbreviations

qtr % chg
quarterly percent change
mth % chg
monthly percent change
ann % chg
annual percent change
ann ave % chg
annual average percent change

Notes

  • [1] Seasonally adjusted
  • [2] Average (11am)
  • [3] Westpac McDermott Miller
  • [4] Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
  • [5] Ordinary time
  • [6] Production GDP divided by HLFS hours worked

Sources: Statistics New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, National Bank of New Zealand, NZIER, ANZ, Haver, Westpac McDermott Miller, One News Colmar Brunton

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