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Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update 2014

Core Crown Expense Tables

Core Crown Expense Tables
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Social security and welfare 19,382 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,741 23,250 23,966 24,415 25,201 26,220
GSF pension expenses 655 328 305 192 278 277 359 404 409 409
Health 12,368 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,911 15,065 15,132 15,191 15,274
Education 11,455 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,825 12,946 13,008 13,081
Core government services 5,293 2,974 5,563 5,428 4,294 4,406 4,849 4,909 4,799 4,792
Law and order 3,089 3,191 3,382 3,403 3,456 3,499 3,568 3,529 3,502 3,502
Defence 1,757 1,814 1,809 1,736 1,804 1,824 1,929 2,023 1,993 1,976
Transport and communications 2,663 2,345 2,281 2,232 2,255 2,235 2,220 2,161 2,224 2,293
Economic and industrial services 2,960 2,806 2,542 2,073 1,978 2,068 2,215 2,241 2,246 2,299
Primary services 534 507 706 648 659 675 700 638 605 603
Heritage, culture and recreation 586 630 741 863 804 841 770 778 753 744
Housing and community development 297 339 943 (46) 283 355 331 284 228 220
Environmental protection 416 651 1,225 769 530 535 528 530 510 513
Other 118 80 479 425 603 526 350 575 551 549
Finance costs 2,429 2,311 3,066 3,511 3,619 3,589 3,835 4,000 4,383 4,473
Forecast for future new spending ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..   191 1,834 3,340 4,864
Top-down expense adjustment ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  (875) (485) (360) (360)
Core Crown expenses 64,002 64,013 70,450 69,076 70,306 71,291 72,826 75,914 78,583 81,452

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below) 17,366 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,748 22,412 23,188 24,183
Social rehabilitation and compensation 336 331 119 81 107 173 142 151 157 163
Departmental expenses 1,092 1,130 1,127 1,122 1,168 1,204 1,313 1,266 1,263 1,262
Child support impairment 205 371 281 72 282 255 321 161 171 193
Other non-departmental expenses1 383 392 697 378 395 431 442 425 422 419
Social security and welfare expenses 19,382 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,741 23,250 23,966 24,415 25,201 26,220
  1. Other non-departmental expenses and other expenses include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses
New Zealand superannuation and welfare benefit expenses
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 7,744 8,290 8,830 9,584 10,235 10,913 11,610 12,254 12,906 13,644
Jobseeker Support (and Emergency) Benefit1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  1,691 1,689 1,612 1,597 1,638
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  1,422 1,510 1,529 1,555 1,589
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  1,222 1,217 1,220 1,226 1,235
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 1,530 1,693 1,757 1,811 1,738 63 ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 1,260 1,303 1,306 1,325 1,330 52 ..  ..  ..  ..  
Sickness Benefit1 613 710 743 775 782 29 ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 586 930 943 883 812 29 ..  ..  ..  .. 
Family Tax Credit 2,053 2,159 2,130 2,071 2,018 1,965 1,915 1,890 1,907 2,036
Other working for families tax credits 620 629 616 599 575 567 534 535 533 528
Accommodation Assistance 989 1,154 1,197 1,195 1,177 1,146 1,134 1,130 1,133 1,151
Income-Related Rents 512 522 553 580 611 660 718 775 825 879
Disability Assistance 390 411 409 401 384 379 373 374 375 378
Benefits paid in Australia 50 45 40 37 22 19 15 12 34 .. 
Paid Parental Leave 143 154 154 158 165 165 178 223 244 254
Childcare Assistance 159 178 188 188 186 186 183 184 186 188
War Disablement Pensions 125 137 135 128 123 119 119 120 115 110
Veteran's Pension 176 179 178 177 171 165 156 152 147 143
Other benefits 416 467 602 463 460 395 397 405 405 410
Benefit expenses 17,366 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,748 22,415 23,188 24,183

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses
Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 522 540 561 585 612 640 667 691 715 738
Jobseeker Support (and Emergency) Benefit1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  138 130 122 118 119
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  96 97 97 97 97
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  78 74 73 72 71
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 101 110 114 114 109 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 86 88 88 87 87 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 50 58 60 60 60 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 48 78 80 73 67 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Accommodation Supplement 267 312 320 311 305 297 292 287 286 288
  1. From July 2013, changes to the benefit system and existing benefit categories took place. Three new categories of benefit; Supported living payment, Sole parent support and Jobseeker support; have replaced the following existing categories: Domestic Purposes Benefit, Invalid's Benefit, Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit and Widow's Benefit. Due to the changes, there is no historical data for the new benefit categories and no forecast data for the previous categories beyond July 2013.

Source: Ministry of Social Development

Table 6.3 - Health expenses
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Departmental outputs 206 211 199 186 171 183 183 188 189 189
Health services purchasing (see below) 11,354 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 14,024 13,999 13,971 13,930
Other non-departmental outputs 98 106 120 119 234 322 217 201 214 266
Health payments to ACC 667 691 849 744 715 694 598 700 773 847
Other expenses 43 43 55 93 30 64 43 44 44 42
Health expenses 12,368 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,911 15,065 15,132 15,191 15,274

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.4 - Health services purchasing
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards 10,038 10,670 11,133 11,542 11,946 12,165 12,476 12,490 12,491 12,464
National disability support services 889 930 971 1,029 1,028 1,087 1,118 1,112 1,109 1,101
Public health services purchasing 427 477 426 447 374 396 430 397 371 365
Health services purchasing 11,354 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 14,024 13,999 13,971 13,930

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Education expenses
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Early childhood education 1,030 1,184 1,340 1,355 1,436 1,545 1,604 1,650 1,680 1,716
Primary and secondary schools (see below) 4,936 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,551 5,824 5,924 5,923 5,933
Tertiary funding (see below) 4,564 4,465 3,991 3,795 4,370 4,026 4,244 4,254 4,293 4,311
Departmental expenses 888 898 923 988 1,039 1,105 1,073 1,044 1,048 1,053
Other education expenses 37 20 42 73 69 73 80 74 64 68
Education expenses 11,455 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,825 12,946 13,008 13,081

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Education expenses (continued)
Places 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Early childhood education1 142,135 152,877 159,997 166,434 174,782 182,481 187,212 192,038 195,243 199,319
  1. Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: Ministry of Education

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools
($millions) 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Primary 2,484 2,622 2,731 2,771 2,845 2,813 2,961 3,028 3,033 3,041
Secondary 1,898 1,972 2,051 2,085 2,148 2,146 2,236 2,262 2,254 2,252
School transport 152 160 163 172 175 177 183 189 195 202
Special needs support 290 297 310 323 332 322 335 338 339 339
Professional development 101 95 90 85 84 87 103 101 96 93
Schooling improvement 11 11 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
Primary and secondary education expenses 4,936 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,551 5,824 5,924 5,923 5,933

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools (continued)
 Places 2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
Primary1 474,630 473,431 474,149 474,821 477,716 480,634 487,107 492,031 494,939 497,422
Secondary1 280,062 281,095 281,999 279,554 278,136 277,895 275,815 273,295 272,900 271,133
  1. These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8, with no year one student adjustment included) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers include special school rolls but exclude health camps, hospital schools and home schooling.

Source: Ministry of Education

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