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Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2014

Core Crown Expense Tables

Core Crown Expense Tables
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Social security and welfare 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,741 23,281 23,917 24,519 25,028 25,957 26,842
GSF pension expenses 328 305 192 278 282 360 394 401 394 385
Health 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,110 15,145 15,200 15,248 15,333
Education 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,861 12,968 13,035 13,116 13,134
Core government services 2,974 5,563 5,428 4,294 4,502 4,839 4,583 4,489 4,582 4,506
Law and order 3,191 3,382 3,403 3,456 3,501 3,595 3,553 3,501 3,497 3,493
Defence 1,814 1,809 1,736 1,804 1,811 1,977 2,049 2,026 2,003 2,003
Transport and communications 2,345 2,281 2,232 2,255 2,237 2,297 2,200 2,245 2,316 2,306
Economic and industrial services 2,806 2,542 2,073 1,978 2,058 2,239 2,328 2,314 2,359 2,348
Primary services 507 706 648 659 676 754 671 620 610 615
Heritage, culture and recreation 630 741 863 804 842 781 797 755 742 735
Housing and community development 339 943 ( 46) 283 347 372 309 236 223 223
Environmental protection 651 1,225 769 530 533 659 542 517 520 521
Other 80 479 425 603 579 268 534 598 597 597
Finance costs 2,311 3,066 3,511 3,619 3,620 3,816 3,903 4,200 4,273 4,309
Forecast for future new spending1  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  123 1,156 2,176 4,661 6,198
Top-down expense adjustment  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ( 950) ( 595) ( 460) ( 435) ( 395)
Core Crown expenses 64,013 70,450 69,076 70,306 71,467 73,018 75,056 76,881 80,663 83,153
  1. The classifications of the functions of the Government reflect current approved baselines. Forecast new operating spending is shown as a separate line item in the above analysis and will be allocated to functions of the Government once decisions are made in future Budgets.
Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below) 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,119 21,729 22,359 23,069 23,956 24,813
Social rehabilitation and compensation 331 119 81 107 173 142 151 157 163 176
Departmental expenses 1,130 1,127 1,122 1,168 1,204 1,324 1,263 1,260 1,257 1,257
Child support impairment 371 281 72 282 255 288 328 130 172 188
Other non-departmental expenses1 392 697 378 395 530 434 418 412 409 408
Social security and welfare expenses 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,741 23,281 23,917 24,519 25,028 25,957 26,842
  1. Other non-departmental expenses and other expenses include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 8,290 8,830 9,584 10,235 10,913 11,577 12,159 12,790 13,498 14,300
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit ..  ..  ..  ..  1,691 1,679 1,590 1,522 1,512 1,541
Supported living payment ..  ..  ..  ..  1,422 1,513 1,534 1,552 1,572 1,588
Sole parent support ..  ..  ..  ..  1,222 1,187 1,175 1,162 1,155 1,157
Domestic Purposes Benefit 1,693 1,757 1,811 1,738 63 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit 1,303 1,306 1,325 1,330 52 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit 710 743 775 782 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit 930 943 883 812 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Family Tax Credit 2,159 2,130 2,071 2,018 1,965 1,890 1,869 1,917 2,050 1,978
Other working for families tax credits 629 616 599 575 567 557 558 556 551 549
Accommodation Assistance 1,154 1,197 1,195 1,177 1,146 1,132 1,131 1,127 1,138 1,158
Income-Related Rents 522 553 580 611 660 718 775 825 879 935
Disability Assistance 411 409 401 384 379 379 383 384 385 387
Benefits paid in Australia 45 40 37 22 19 15 11 32 ..  .. 
Paid Parental Leave 154 154 158 165 97 183 228 250 261 270
Childcare Assistance 178 188 188 186 186 186 187 190 193 196
Veterans Support Entitlement2 137 135 128 123 119 118 116 114 109 105
Veteran's Pension 179 178 177 171 165 175 217 224 223 216
Other benefits 467 602 463 460 395 420 426 424 430 433
Benefit expenses 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,119 21,729 22,359 23,069 23,956 24,813

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses (continued)
Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands)
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 540 561 585 612 640 665 688 711 735 758
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit1 ..  ..  ..  ..  138 132 123 116 112 112
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  ..  ..  96 98 98 98 98 97
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  ..  ..  78 72 70 68 66 65
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 110 114 114 109 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 88 88 87 87 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 58 60 60 60 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 78 80 73 67 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Accommodation Assistance 312 320 311 305 297 292 287 284 284 286
  1. From July 2013, changes to the benefit system and existing benefit categories took place. Three new categories of benefit; Supported living payment, Sole parent support and Jobseeker support; have replaced the following existing categories: Domestic Purposes Benefit, Invalid's Benefit, Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit and Widow's Benefit. Owing to the changes, there is no historical data for the new benefit categories and no forecast data for the previous categories beyond July 2013.
  2. From 2015, War Disablement Pensions have been renamed to Veterans Support Entitlements.

Source: Ministry of Social Development

Table 6.3 - Health expenses
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Departmental outputs 211 199 186 171 183 193 192 191 190 189
Health services purchasing (see below) 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 14,033 13,991 13,960 13,922 13,899
Other non-departmental outputs 106 120 119 234 330 254 239 245 260 297
Health payments to ACC 691 849 744 715 694 592 694 775 849 919
Other expenses 43 55 93 30 43 38 29 29 27 29
Health expenses 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,110 15,145 15,200 15,248 15,333

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.4 - Health services purchasing
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards 10,670 11,133 11,542 11,946 12,165 12,493 12,486 12,487 12,460 12,437
National disability support services 930 971 1,029 1,028 1,087 1,107 1,111 1,108 1,102 1,102
Public health services purchasing 477 426 447 374 396 433 394 365 360 360
Health services purchasing 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 14,033 13,991 13,960 13,922 13,899

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Education expenses
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Early childhood education 1,184 1,340 1,355 1,436 1,545 1,622 1,670 1,695 1,719 1,753
Primary and secondary schools (see below) 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,830 5,945 5,939 5,948 5,913
Tertiary funding (see below) 4,465 3,991 3,795 4,370 4,027 4,236 4,229 4,280 4,318 4,337
Departmental expenses 898 923 988 1,039 1,107 1,102 1,057 1,060 1,065 1,064
Other education expenses 20 42 73 69 71 71 67 61 66 67
Education expenses 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,861 12,968 13,035 13,116 13,134

Source: The Treasury

Number of places provided1 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Early childhood education 152,877 159,997 166,434 174,782 183,843 190,012 193,974 195,879 199,226 204,664
  1. Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: Ministry of Education

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Primary 2,622 2,731 2,771 2,845 2,812 2,963 3,035 3,038 3,044 3,031
Secondary 1,972 2,051 2,085 2,148 2,146 2,242 2,272 2,263 2,261 2,243
School transport 160 163 172 175 177 183 189 195 202 202
Special needs support 297 310 323 332 322 335 343 343 344 339
Professional development 95 90 85 84 87 101 100 94 91 92
Schooling improvement 11 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Primary and secondary education expenses 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,830 5,945 5,939 5,948 5,913

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools (continued)
Number of places provided1 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Primary 489,904 489,275 489,799 493,025 497,765 505,162 510,705 513,881 516,227 516,286
Secondary 275,343 274,518 271,078 267,627 266,734 269,874 267,814 267,892 266,563 267,115
  1. These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers exclude special school rolls, health camps, hospital schools and home schooling (prior published tables included special school rolls).

These estimates include a new entrant adjustment to make provision for the number of new entrants likely to be enrolled between 1 March and 10 October. Actual numbers have been restated to include this adjustment.

Source: Ministry of Education

Table 6.7 - Tertiary funding
($millions) 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Tuition 2,398 2,354 2,306 2,322 2,383 2,475 2,461 2,466 2,466 2,465
Other tertiary funding 489 429 430 432 463 500 492 498 498 498
Student allowances 570 620 644 596 539 523 533 550 564 567
Student loans 1,008 588 415 1,020 642 738 743 766 790 807
Tertiary education expenses 4,465 3,991 3,795 4,370 4,027 4,236 4,229 4,280 4,318 4,337

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.7 - Tertiary funding (continued)
Number of places provided1 2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
Actual delivered and estimated funded places 250,440 240,529 245,784 240,472 237,898 237,943 237,583 238,598 238,343 238,480
  1. Tertiary places are the number of equivalent full time (EFT) students in: student achievement component; adult and community education; and youth guarantee programmes. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers. Place numbers are based on calendar years rather than fiscal years.

Source: Ministry of Education

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