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Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2012

Core Crown Expense Tables

Core Crown Expense Tables
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Social security and welfare 17,877 19,382 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,878 23,598 24,113 24,661 25,399
GSF pension expenses 690 655 328 305 192 278 258 280 315 349
Health 11,297 12,368 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,741 14,629 14,596 14,573 14,542
Education 9,551 11,455 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,400 12,215 12,304 12,395 12,442
Core government services 3,371 5,293 2,974 5,563 5,428 5,640 4,354 4,223 4,266 4,209
Law and order 2,894 3,089 3,191 3,382 3,403 3,642 3,468 3,437 3,510 3,488
Defence 1,562 1,757 1,814 1,809 1,736 1,864 1,828 1,835 1,879 2,149
Transport and communications 2,244 2,663 2,345 2,281 2,232 2,435 2,073 2,212 2,145 2,217
Economic and industrial services 2,889 2,960 2,839 2,609 2,157 2,082 1,962 1,895 1,924 1,944
Primary services 541 534 507 706 648 846 726 719 681 658
Heritage, culture and recreation 561 586 630 741 863 875 821 804 796 796
Housing and community development 260 297 306 876 ( 130) 357 287 287 234 200
Environmental protection1 546 416 651 1,225 769 585 486 477 492 483
Other 254 118 80 479 425 629 546 544 545 545
Finance costs 2,460 2,429 2,311 3,066 3,511 3,579 3,752 3,972 3,989 4,279
Forecast for future new spending  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  317 978 2,154 3,352 4,544
Top-down expense adjustment  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ( 1,150) ( 200) ( 200) ( 200) ( 200)
Core Crown expenses 56,997 64,002 64,013 70,450 69,076 71,998 71,781 73,652 75,557 78,044
  1. In previous Economic and Fiscal Updates, expenses relating to environmental protection were included within the heritage, culture and recreation classification. From HYEFU 12, environmental protection expenses are separated out into their own functional classification.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below) 16,288 17,366 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,861 21,512 22,059 22,806 23,529
Social rehabilitation and compensation 199 336 331 119 81 107 128 119 109 103
Departmental expenses 850 1,092 1,130 1,127 1,122 1,103 1,081 1,055 1,051 1,050
Child support impairment 193 205 371 281 72 296 392 408 226 252
Other non-departmental expenses1 347 383 392 697 378 511 485 472 469 465
Social security and welfare expenses 17,877 19,382 21,185 22,005 22,028 22,878 23,598 24,113 24,661 25,399
  1. Other non-departmental expenses in the 2011 actuals include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - New Zealand superannuation and welfare benefit expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 7,348 7,744 8,290 8,830 9,584 10,228 10,850 11,415 12,073 12,686
Domestic Purposes Benefit 1,478 1,530 1,693 1,757 1,811 1,751 1,762 1,776 1,811 1,840
Unemployment Benefit 458 586 930 943 883 836 839 814 804 783
Invalid's Benefit 1,216 1,260 1,303 1,306 1,325 1,323 1,305 1,277 1,273 1,274
Family Tax Credit 1,897 2,062 2,168 2,139 2,082 2,062 2,037 1,993 1,961 1,976
Accommodation Supplement 891 989 1,154 1,197 1,195 1,197 1,229 1,248 1,271 1,288
Sickness Benefit 582 613 710 743 775 784 809 845 868 878
Disability Allowance 278 390 411 409 401 363 358 356 358 358
Income-Related Rents 465 512 522 553 580 614 660 707 759 808
In Work Tax Credit 563 584 595 585 567 541 511 493 483 479
Child Tax Credit 11 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1
Special Benefit 71 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Benefits paid in Australia 58 50 45 40 37 22 19 15 12 34
Paid Parental Leave 135 143 154 154 158 163 170 178 194 195
Childcare Assistance 150 159 178 188 188 186 181 182 186 188
War Disablement Pensions 134 125 137 135 128 122 120 121 122 116
Veteran's Pension 161 176 179 178 177 172 167 159 155 148
Other benefits 392 437 488 621 482 495 494 479 475 477
Benefit expenses 16,288 17,366 18,961 19,781 20,375 20,861 21,512 22,059 22,806 23,529

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.3 - Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 508 522 540 561 585 612 635 658 680 702
Domestic Purposes Benefit 97 101 110 114 114 110 109 107 107 107
Unemployment Benefit 37 48 78 80 73 68 67 64 62 59
Accommodation Supplement 245 267 312 320 311 309 311 311 312 312
Invalid's Benefit 82 86 88 88 87 87 85 82 80 80
Sickness Benefit 48 50 58 60 60 61 62 63 64 63

Source: Ministry of Social Development

Table 6.4 - Health expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Departmental outputs 206 206 211 199 186 186 185 186 186 186
Health services purchasing (see below) 10,503 11,354 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,565 13,459 13,425 13,399 13,361
Other non-departmental outputs 97 98 106 120 119 234 176 179 181 182
Health payments to ACC 463 667 691 849 744 689 761 758 759 765
Other expenses 28 43 43 55 93 67 48 48 48 48
Health expenses 11,297 12,368 13,128 13,753 14,160 14,741 14,629 14,596 14,573 14,542

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Health services purchasing
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards 9,312 10,038 10,670 11,133 11,542 12,070 12,036 12,011 11,991 11,953
National disability support services 834 889 930 971 1,029 1,059 1,053 1,053 1,053 1,053
Public health services purchasing 357 427 477 426 447 436 370 361 355 355
Health services purchasing 10,503 11,354 12,077 12,530 13,018 13,565 13,459 13,425 13,399 13,361

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.6 - Education expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Early childhood education 860 1,030 1,184 1,340 1,355 1,430 1,465 1,490 1,511 1,548
Primary and secondary schools (see below) 4,552 4,936 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,649 5,543 5,642 5,715 5,720
Tertiary funding (see below) 3,266 4,564 4,465 3,991 3,795 4,183 4,150 4,126 4,132 4,137
Departmental expenses 828 888 898 923 988 1,045 981 971 963 963
Other education expenses 45 37 20 42 73 93 76 75 74 74
Education expenses 9,551 11,455 11,724 11,650 11,654 12,400 12,215 12,304 12,395 12,442
Table 6.6 - Education expenses (continued)
Places 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Early childhood education1 134,155 142,135 152,862 159,619 165,126 170,849 173,469 176,861 179,216 185,725
  1. Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.7 - Primary and secondary education expenses

($millions)

2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Primary 2,262 2,484 2,622 2,731 2,771 2,873 2,828 2,894 2,946 2,944
Secondary 1,761 1,898 1,972 2,051 2,085 2,160 2,102 2,124 2,136 2,135
School transport 131 152 160 163 172 180 188 195 201 209
Special needs support 278 290 297 310 323 338 328 333 336 336
Professional development 108 101 95 90 85 89 87 87 87 87
Schooling improvement 12 11 11 9 7 9 10 9 9 9
Primary and secondary education expenses 4,552 4,936 5,157 5,354 5,443 5,649 5,543 5,642 5,715 5,720
Table 6.7 - Primary and secondary education expenses (continued)
Places 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Primary1 475,820 474,630 473,431 474,149 474,821 476,445 479,165 484,931 489,043 491,097
Secondary1 277,582 280,062 281,095 281,999 279,554 277,615 274,923 272,243 269,211 268,003
  1. These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers include special school rolls but exclude health camps, hospital schools and home schooling.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.8 - Tertiary education expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Tuition 2,172 2,287 2,398 2,354 2,306 2,410 2,399 2,403 2,406 2,407
Other tertiary funding 452 522 489 429 430 454 459 470 478 478
Tertiary student allowances 386 444 570 620 644 623 572 526 503 489
Student loans 256 1,311 1,008 588 415 696 720 727 745 763
Tertiary education expenses 3,266 4,564 4,465 3,991 3,795 4,183 4,150 4,126 4,132 4,137
Table 6.8 - Tertiary education expenses
Places (year) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Estimated funded places1 225,836 234,230 239,978 238,721 245,014 244,098 242,618 242,353 242,389 242,389
Actual delivered places1 229,224 246,041 250,440 240,618 250,526
  1. Tertiary places are the number of equivalent full time (EFT) students in: student achievement component; adult and community education; and youth guarantee programmes. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published EFU numbers. Place numbers are based on calendar years rather than fiscal years.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.9 - Core government service expenses
($millions) 2008
Actual
2009
Actual
2010
Actual
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
2015
Forecast
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
Official development assistance 362 458 435 495 510 533 495 495 545 545
Indemnity and guarantee expenses ..  992 7 319 59 24 26 25 28 32
Departmental expenses 1,557 1,668 1,324 1,492 1,518 1,768 1,610 1,550 1,543 1,510
Non-departmental expenses1 277 117 236 471 524 517 537 552 560 584
Tax receivable write-down and impairments 701 1,654 590 1,010 1,003 1,141 1,197 1,153 1,200 1,200
Science expenses 168 179 191 174 116 120 121 124 124 124
Other expenses1 306 225 191 1,602 1,698 1,537 368 324 266 214
Core government service expenses 3,371 5,293 2,974 5,563 5,428 5,640 4,354 4,223 4,266 4,209
  1. Non-departmental expenses and other expenses in the forecast period include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

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