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Core Crown Expense Tables

Core Crown Expense Tables
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Social security and welfare	17,877	19,382	21,185	22,005	22,028	22,878	23,598	24,113	24,661	25,399
GSF pension expenses	690	655	328	305	192	278	258	280	315	349
Health	11,297	12,368	13,128	13,753	14,160	14,741	14,629	14,596	14,573	14,542
Education	9,551	11,455	11,724	11,650	11,654	12,400	12,215	12,304	12,395	12,442
Core government services	3,371	5,293	2,974	5,563	5,428	5,640	4,354	4,223	4,266	4,209
Law and order	2,894	3,089	3,191	3,382	3,403	3,642	3,468	3,437	3,510	3,488
Defence	1,562	1,757	1,814	1,809	1,736	1,864	1,828	1,835	1,879	2,149
Transport and communications	2,244	2,663	2,345	2,281	2,232	2,435	2,073	2,212	2,145	2,217
Economic and industrial services	2,889	2,960	2,839	2,609	2,157	2,082	1,962	1,895	1,924	1,944
Primary services	541	534	507	706	648	846	726	719	681	658
Heritage, culture and recreation	561	586	630	741	863	875	821	804	796	796
Housing and community development	260	297	306	876	( 130)	357	287	287	234	200
Environmental protection¹	546	416	651	1,225	769	585	486	477	492	483
Other	254	118	80	479	425	629	546	544	545	545
Finance costs	2,460	2,429	2,311	3,066	3,511	3,579	3,752	3,972	3,989	4,279
Forecast for future new spending	..	..	..	..	..	317	978	2,154	3,352	4,544
Top-down expense adjustment	..	..	..	..	..	( 1,150)	( 200)	( 200)	( 200)	( 200)
Core Crown expenses	56,997	64,002	64,013	70,450	69,076	71,998	71,781	73,652	75,557	78,044

In previous Economic and Fiscal Updates, expenses relating to environmental protection were included within the heritage, culture and recreation classification. From HYEFU 12, environmental protection expenses are separated out into their own functional classification.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below)	16,288	17,366	18,961	19,781	20,375	20,861	21,512	22,059	22,806	23,529
Social rehabilitation and compensation	199	336	331	119	81	107	128	119	109	103
Departmental expenses	850	1,092	1,130	1,127	1,122	1,103	1,081	1,055	1,051	1,050
Child support impairment	193	205	371	281	72	296	392	408	226	252
Other non-departmental expenses¹	347	383	392	697	378	511	485	472	469	465
Social security and welfare expenses	17,877	19,382	21,185	22,005	22,028	22,878	23,598	24,113	24,661	25,399

Other non-departmental expenses in the 2011 actuals include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - New Zealand superannuation and welfare benefit expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation	7,348	7,744	8,290	8,830	9,584	10,228	10,850	11,415	12,073	12,686
Domestic Purposes Benefit	1,478	1,530	1,693	1,757	1,811	1,751	1,762	1,776	1,811	1,840
Unemployment Benefit	458	586	930	943	883	836	839	814	804	783
Invalid's Benefit	1,216	1,260	1,303	1,306	1,325	1,323	1,305	1,277	1,273	1,274
Family Tax Credit	1,897	2,062	2,168	2,139	2,082	2,062	2,037	1,993	1,961	1,976
Accommodation Supplement	891	989	1,154	1,197	1,195	1,197	1,229	1,248	1,271	1,288
Sickness Benefit	582	613	710	743	775	784	809	845	868	878
Disability Allowance	278	390	411	409	401	363	358	356	358	358
Income-Related Rents	465	512	522	553	580	614	660	707	759	808
In Work Tax Credit	563	584	595	585	567	541	511	493	483	479
Child Tax Credit	11	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1
Special Benefit	71	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Benefits paid in Australia	58	50	45	40	37	22	19	15	12	34
Paid Parental Leave	135	143	154	154	158	163	170	178	194	195
Childcare Assistance	150	159	178	188	188	186	181	182	186	188
War Disablement Pensions	134	125	137	135	128	122	120	121	122	116
Veteran's Pension	161	176	179	178	177	172	167	159	155	148
Other benefits	392	437	488	621	482	495	494	479	475	477
Benefit expenses	16,288	17,366	18,961	19,781	20,375	20,861	21,512	22,059	22,806	23,529

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.3 - Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation	508	522	540	561	585	612	635	658	680	702
Domestic Purposes Benefit	97	101	110	114	114	110	109	107	107	107
Unemployment Benefit	37	48	78	80	73	68	67	64	62	59
Accommodation Supplement	245	267	312	320	311	309	311	311	312	312
Invalid's Benefit	82	86	88	88	87	87	85	82	80	80
Sickness Benefit	48	50	58	60	60	61	62	63	64	63

Source: Ministry of Social Development

Table 6.4 - Health expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Departmental outputs	206	206	211	199	186	186	185	186	186	186
Health services purchasing (see below)	10,503	11,354	12,077	12,530	13,018	13,565	13,459	13,425	13,399	13,361
Other non-departmental outputs	97	98	106	120	119	234	176	179	181	182
Health payments to ACC	463	667	691	849	744	689	761	758	759	765
Other expenses	28	43	43	55	93	67	48	48	48	48
Health expenses	11,297	12,368	13,128	13,753	14,160	14,741	14,629	14,596	14,573	14,542

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Health services purchasing
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards	9,312	10,038	10,670	11,133	11,542	12,070	12,036	12,011	11,991	11,953
National disability support services	834	889	930	971	1,029	1,059	1,053	1,053	1,053	1,053
Public health services purchasing	357	427	477	426	447	436	370	361	355	355
Health services purchasing	10,503	11,354	12,077	12,530	13,018	13,565	13,459	13,425	13,399	13,361

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.6 - Education expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Early childhood education	860	1,030	1,184	1,340	1,355	1,430	1,465	1,490	1,511	1,548
Primary and secondary schools (see below)	4,552	4,936	5,157	5,354	5,443	5,649	5,543	5,642	5,715	5,720
Tertiary funding (see below)	3,266	4,564	4,465	3,991	3,795	4,183	4,150	4,126	4,132	4,137
Departmental expenses	828	888	898	923	988	1,045	981	971	963	963
Other education expenses	45	37	20	42	73	93	76	75	74	74
Education expenses	9,551	11,455	11,724	11,650	11,654	12,400	12,215	12,304	12,395	12,442

Table 6.6 - Education expenses (continued)
Places	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Early childhood education¹	134,155	142,135	152,862	159,619	165,126	170,849	173,469	176,861	179,216	185,725

Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.7 - Primary and secondary education expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Primary	2,262	2,484	2,622	2,731	2,771	2,873	2,828	2,894	2,946	2,944
Secondary	1,761	1,898	1,972	2,051	2,085	2,160	2,102	2,124	2,136	2,135
School transport	131	152	160	163	172	180	188	195	201	209
Special needs support	278	290	297	310	323	338	328	333	336	336
Professional development	108	101	95	90	85	89	87	87	87	87
Schooling improvement	12	11	11	9	7	9	10	9	9	9
Primary and secondary education expenses	4,552	4,936	5,157	5,354	5,443	5,649	5,543	5,642	5,715	5,720

Table 6.7 - Primary and secondary education expenses (continued)
Places	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Primary¹	475,820	474,630	473,431	474,149	474,821	476,445	479,165	484,931	489,043	491,097
Secondary¹	277,582	280,062	281,095	281,999	279,554	277,615	274,923	272,243	269,211	268,003

These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers include special school rolls but exclude health camps, hospital schools and home schooling.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.8 - Tertiary education expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Tuition	2,172	2,287	2,398	2,354	2,306	2,410	2,399	2,403	2,406	2,407
Other tertiary funding	452	522	489	429	430	454	459	470	478	478
Tertiary student allowances	386	444	570	620	644	623	572	526	503	489
Student loans	256	1,311	1,008	588	415	696	720	727	745	763
Tertiary education expenses	3,266	4,564	4,465	3,991	3,795	4,183	4,150	4,126	4,132	4,137

Table 6.8 - Tertiary education expenses
Places (year)	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017
Estimated funded places¹	225,836	234,230	239,978	238,721	245,014	244,098	242,618	242,353	242,389	242,389
Actual delivered places¹	229,224	246,041	250,440	240,618	250,526

Tertiary places are the number of equivalent full time (EFT) students in: student achievement component; adult and community education; and youth guarantee programmes. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published EFU numbers. Place numbers are based on calendar years rather than fiscal years.

Sources: Ministry of Education, the Treasury

Table 6.9 - Core government service expenses
($millions)	2008 Actual	2009 Actual	2010 Actual	2011 Actual	2012 Actual	2013 Forecast	2014 Forecast	2015 Forecast	2016 Forecast	2017 Forecast
Official development assistance	362	458	435	495	510	533	495	495	545	545
Indemnity and guarantee expenses	..	992	7	319	59	24	26	25	28	32
Departmental expenses	1,557	1,668	1,324	1,492	1,518	1,768	1,610	1,550	1,543	1,510
Non-departmental expenses¹	277	117	236	471	524	517	537	552	560	584
Tax receivable write-down and impairments	701	1,654	590	1,010	1,003	1,141	1,197	1,153	1,200	1,200
Science expenses	168	179	191	174	116	120	121	124	124	124
Other expenses¹	306	225	191	1,602	1,698	1,537	368	324	266	214
Core government service expenses	3,371	5,293	2,974	5,563	5,428	5,640	4,354	4,223	4,266	4,209

Non-departmental expenses and other expenses in the forecast period include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes.

Source: The Treasury

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