Forecast Statement of Financial Performance
for the years ending 30 June
| Note |
2009 Actual $m |
2010 Previous Budget $m |
2010 Forecast $m |
2011 Forecast $m |
2012 Forecast $m |
2013 Forecast $m |
2014 Forecast $m |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue |
||||||||
| Taxation revenue | 1 | 54,145 | 51,052 | 50,843 | 53,897 | 56,653 | 59,822 | 63,111 |
| Other sovereign revenue | 1 | 4,118 | 4,860 | 4,634 | 5,847 | 6,047 | 6,422 | 6,804 |
| Total revenue levied through the Crown's sovereign power | 58,263 | 55,912 | 55,477 | 59,744 | 62,700 | 66,244 | 69,915 | |
| Sales of goods and services | 15,356 | 16,049 | 14,005 | 15,135 | 16,122 | 16,861 | 17,309 | |
| Interest revenue and dividends | 2 | 3,419 | 3,159 | 3,659 | 4,039 | 4,377 | 4,603 | 4,617 |
| Other revenue | 2,890 | 2,814 | 2,831 | 2,801 | 2,873 | 2,937 | 3,044 | |
| Total revenue earned through the Crown's operations | 21,665 | 22,022 | 20,495 | 21,975 | 23,372 | 24,401 | 24,970 | |
| Total Revenue (excluding gains) | 79,928 | 77,934 | 75,972 | 81,719 | 86,072 | 90,645 | 94,885 | |
Expenses |
||||||||
| Transfer payments and subsidies | 3 | 19,962 | 21,175 | 21,533 | 22,456 | 23,230 | 24,061 | 24,773 |
| Personnel expenses | 4 | 18,064 | 18,324 | 18,201 | 18,545 | 18,925 | 19,070 | 19,162 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | 5 | 4,305 | 4,126 | 4,201 | 4,508 | 4,681 | 4,761 | 4,839 |
| Other operating expenses | 5 | 34,116 | 34,855 | 33,487 | 33,957 | 33,478 | 34,384 | 34,935 |
| Interest expenses | 6 | 3,492 | 3,349 | 3,906 | 4,626 | 5,366 | 6,011 | 6,344 |
| Insurance expenses | 7 | 3,882 | 3,890 | 3,246 | 3,483 | 4,265 | 4,898 | 5,358 |
| Forecast new operating spending | 8 | - | 254 | 13 | 1,028 | 2,177 | 3,285 | 4,391 |
| Top-down expense adjustment | 8 | - | (300) | (1,150) | (200) | (50) | (50) | (50) |
| Total Expenses (excluding losses) | 83,821 | 85,673 | 83,437 | 88,403 | 92,072 | 96,420 | 99,752 | |
| Operating Balance before gains/(losses) | (3,893) | (7,739) | (7,465) | (6,684) | (6,000) | (5,775) | (4,867) | |
| Net gains/(losses) on financial instruments | 9 | (2,634) | 1,416 | 2,685 | 1,157 | 1,436 | 1,637 | 1,782 |
| Net gains/(losses) on non-financial instruments | 10 | (4,167) | 205 | (112) | 226 | 235 | 238 | 240 |
| Total gains/(losses) | (6,801) | 1,621 | 2,573 | 1,383 | 1,671 | 1,875 | 2,022 | |
| Net surplus from associates and joint ventures | 212 | 390 | 99 | 174 | 177 | 173 | 173 | |
| Operating Balance from continuing activities | (10,482) | (5,728) | (4,793) | (5,127) | (4,152) | (3,727) | (2,672) | |
| Gain/(loss) from discontinued operations | 2 | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
| Operating Balance (including minority interest) | (10,480) | (5,729) | (4,794) | (5,128) | (4,153) | (3,728) | (2,673) | |
| Attributable to minority interest | (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Operating balance | 11 | (10,505) | (5,729) | (4,794) | (5,128) | (4,153) | (3,728) | (2,673) |
The accompanying Notes and Accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements.
Forecast Statement of Financial Performance (continued) - Functional Expense Analysis
for the years ending 30 June
|
2009 Actual $m |
2010 Previous Budget $m |
2010 Forecast $m |
2011 Forecast $m |
2012 Forecast $m |
2013 Forecast $m |
2014 Forecast $m |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Crown Expenses |
|||||||
By functional classification |
|||||||
| Social security and welfare | 23,273 | 25,073 | 24,268 | 25,699 | 27,374 | 28,825 | 29,937 |
| GSF pension expenses | 655 | 370 | 368 | 408 | 537 | 599 | 588 |
| Health | 12,042 | 12,815 | 12,889 | 12,859 | 12,795 | 12,769 | 12,811 |
| Education | 12,465 | 12,147 | 12,358 | 12,471 | 12,596 | 12,622 | 12,685 |
| Core government services | 5,137 | 3,582 | 3,957 | 3,982 | 3,800 | 3,831 | 3,830 |
| Law and order | 3,250 | 3,515 | 3,473 | 3,526 | 3,527 | 3,548 | 3,557 |
| Defence | 1,712 | 1,761 | 1,796 | 1,807 | 1,769 | 1,768 | 1,767 |
| Transport and communications | 9,023 | 8,868 | 8,421 | 8,237 | 8,314 | 8,541 | 9,000 |
| Economic and industrial services | 7,695 | 8,246 | 7,690 | 7,777 | 8,184 | 8,300 | 8,451 |
| Primary services | 1,487 | 1,510 | 1,628 | 1,541 | 1,555 | 1,565 | 1,548 |
| Heritage, culture and recreation | 2,397 | 2,806 | 2,358 | 2,804 | 2,761 | 3,405 | 3,188 |
| Housing and community development | 1,075 | 1,115 | 1,031 | 1,098 | 1,171 | 1,155 | 1,133 |
| Other | 118 | 562 | 431 | 740 | 196 | 246 | 572 |
| Finance costs | 3,492 | 3,349 | 3,906 | 4,626 | 5,366 | 6,011 | 6,344 |
| Forecast for future new spending | - | 254 | 13 | 1,028 | 2,177 | 3,285 | 4,391 |
| Top-down expense adjustment | - | (300) | (1,150) | (200) | (50) | (50) | (50) |
| Total Crown Expenses excluding losses | 83,821 | 85,673 | 83,437 | 88,403 | 92,072 | 96,420 | 99,752 |
Below is an analysis of core Crown expenses by functional classification. Core Crown expenses include expenses incurred by the Crown, Departments, Reserve Bank and the NZS Fund, but not Crown entities and SOEs.
|
2009 Actual $m |
2010 Previous Budget $m |
2010 Forecast $m |
2011 Forecast $m |
2012 Forecast $m |
2013 Forecast $m |
2014 Forecast $m |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Core Crown Expenses |
|||||||
By functional classification |
|||||||
| Social security and welfare | 19,382 | 21,139 | 21,155 | 22,243 | 23,055 | 23,876 | 24,591 |
| GSF pension expenses | 655 | 370 | 357 | 396 | 525 | 587 | 575 |
| Health | 12,368 | 13,397 | 13,434 | 13,452 | 13,415 | 13,387 | 13,407 |
| Education | 11,455 | 11,284 | 11,649 | 11,766 | 11,812 | 11,813 | 11,858 |
| Core government services | 5,293 | 3,620 | 4,071 | 4,034 | 3,856 | 3,891 | 3,888 |
| Law and order | 3,089 | 3,267 | 3,269 | 3,314 | 3,300 | 3,315 | 3,315 |
| Defence | 1,757 | 1,810 | 1,844 | 1,856 | 1,819 | 1,819 | 1,819 |
| Transport and communications | 2,663 | 2,253 | 2,807 | 2,217 | 2,051 | 2,042 | 2,051 |
| Economic and industrial services | 2,960 | 2,673 | 3,167 | 2,672 | 2,634 | 2,615 | 2,631 |
| Primary services | 534 | 611 | 589 | 524 | 532 | 539 | 519 |
| Heritage, culture and recreation | 1,002 | 1,507 | 1,142 | 1,470 | 1,355 | 1,962 | 1,708 |
| Housing and community development | 297 | 365 | 338 | 354 | 358 | 344 | 336 |
| Other | 118 | 562 | 431 | 740 | 196 | 246 | 572 |
| Finance costs | 2,429 | 2,470 | 2,404 | 3,080 | 3,686 | 4,303 | 4,617 |
| Forecast for future new spending | - | 254 | 13 | 1,028 | 2,177 | 3,285 | 4,391 |
| Top-down expense adjustment | - | (300) | (1,150) | (200) | (50) | (50) | (50) |
| Total Core Crown Expenses excluding losses | 64,002 | 65,282 | 65,520 | 68,946 | 70,721 | 73,974 | 76,228 |
The accompanying Notes and Accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements.
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