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Budget 2017 Home Page Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2017

Core Crown Expense Tables

($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Social security and welfare 21,956 22,459 23,026 23,523 24,081 25,412 26,247 27,414 28,199 29,104
Health 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,058 15,626 16,202 17,096 17,225 17,234 17,193
Education 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,879 13,158 13,441 13,985 14,134 14,188 14,413
Core government services 5,428 4,294 4,502 4,134 4,102 4,135 4,843 4,351 4,280 4,144
Law and order 3,338 3,394 3,463 3,515 3,648 3,985 4,119 4,178 4,222 4,278
Transport and communications 2,232 2,255 2,237 2,291 2,178 2,233 2,329 2,344 2,364 2,456
Economic and industrial services 2,073 1,978 2,058 2,228 2,107 2,777 3,001 2,970 2,932 2,948
Defence 1,736 1,804 1,811 1,961 2,026 2,144 2,294 2,360 2,370 2,380
Heritage, culture and recreation 863 804 842 778 787 861 885 875 841 814
Primary services 648 659 676 667 749 715 730 667 653 638
Housing and community development ( 46) 283 347 320 558 640 530 557 519 540
Environmental protection 769 530 533 723 587 893 1,015 929 984 987
GSF pension expenses 192 278 282 358 271 214 220 232 243 243
Other 425 603 579 145 461 444 406 401 396 396
Finance costs 3,511 3,619 3,620 3,783 3,590 3,588 3,493 3,403 3,662 3,806
Forecast new operating spending  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  230 293 1,971 3,647 5,383
Top-down expense adjustment  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ( 450) ( 1,000) ( 545) ( 500) ( 500)
Core Crown expenses 68,939 69,962 71,174 72,363 73,929 77,464 80,486 83,466 86,234 89,223
  1. The classifications of the functions of the Government reflect current approved baselines. Forecast new operating spending is shown as a separate line item in the above analysis and will be allocated to functions of the Government once decisions are made in future Budgets.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below) 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,680 22,441 23,426 24,226 25,392 26,182 27,057
Social rehabilitation and compensation 81 107 173 142 151 220 241 249 260 279
Departmental expenses 1,122 1,168 1,204 1,319 1,339 1,436 1,596 1,572 1,534 1,529
Other non-departmental expenses1 378 395 462 382 150 330 184 201 223 239
Social security and welfare expenses 21,956 22,459 23,026 23,523 24,081 25,412 26,247 27,414 28,199 29,104
  1. From 2016 some non-departmental expenses spending has been reclassified to community services in Housing and community development expenses.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 9,584 10,235 10,913 11,591 12,267 13,044 13,671 14,357 15,164 15,924
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit1 ..  ..  1,691 1,684 1,671 1,695 1,663 1,599 1,529 1,520
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  1,422 1,515 1,523 1,530 1,531 1,538 1,558 1,571
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  1,222 1,186 1,153 1,164 1,117 1,098 1,111 1,120
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 1,811 1,738 63 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 1,325 1,330 52 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 775 782 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 883 812 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Family Tax Credit 2,071 2,018 1,965 1,854 1,793 1,763 1,823 2,089 2,024 2,037
Other working for families tax credits 599 575 567 549 559 610 603 599 594 589
Accommodation Assistance 1,195 1,177 1,146 1,129 1,164 1,129 1,218 1,488 1,497 1,515
Income-Related Rents 580 611 660 703 755 848 900 985 1,048 1,105
Disability Assistance 401 384 379 377 377 377 379 381 382 384
Benefits paid in Australia 37 22 19 15 40 ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Paid Parental Leave 158 165 165 180 217 282 338 352 361 371
Childcare Assistance 188 186 186 183 182 197 197 200 204 207
Veterans Support Entitlement2 128 123 119 115 107 97 91 85 80 75
Veteran's Pension 177 171 165 178 186 175 162 151 142 132
Other benefits 463 460 395 421 447 515 533 470 488 507
Benefit expenses 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,680 22,441 23,426 24,226 25,392 26,182 27,057

Source: The Treasury

Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands)
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 585 612 640 665 691 717 742 769 796 824
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit1 ..  ..  138 133 130 131 128 121 113 110
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  96 98 98 97 97 97 97 96
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  78 72 67 64 62 60 60 59
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 114 109 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 87 87 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 60 60 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 73 67 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Accommodation Assistance 311 305 297 292 292 290 292 298 294 294
  1. From July 2013, changes to the benefit system and existing benefit categories took place. Three new categories of benefit; Supported living payment, Sole parent support and Jobseeker support; have replaced the following existing categories: Domestic Purposes Benefit, Invalid's Benefit, Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit and Widow's Benefit. Owing to the changes, there is no historical data for the new benefit categories and no forecast data for the previous categories beyond July 2013.
  2. From 2015, War Disablement Pensions have been renamed Veterans Support Entitlements.

Source: Ministry of Social Development

Table 6.3 - Health expenses
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Departmental outputs 186 171 183 190 188 196 196 192 192 192
Health services purchasing (see below) 13,018 13,348 13,648 13,937 14,361 14,852 15,402 15,376 15,378 15,374
Other non-departmental outputs1 119 234 330 312 356 372 773 858 893 875
Health payments to ACC 744 715 694 587 694 668 697 770 742 724
Other expenses2 93 30 43 32 27 114 28 29 29 28
Health expenses 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,058 15,626 16,202 17,096 17,225 17,234 17,193
  1. Other non-departmental output expenses from the 2018 forecast year includes the Care and Support Workers pay equity settlement.
  2. The increase in other expenses in the 2017 forecast year relates to a one off restructuring of District Health Board balance sheets. These expenses are offset by additional revenue for the New Zealand Debt Management Office (excluded from these tables) and therefore have no impact on OBEGAL.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.4 - Health services purchasing
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards 11,542 11,946 12,165 12,414 12,822 13,283 13,789 13,784 13,785 13,780
National disability support services 1,029 1,028 1,087 1,126 1,167 1,183 1,208 1,208 1,208 1,208
Public health services purchasing 447 374 396 397 372 386 405 384 385 386
Health services purchasing 13,018 13,348 13,648 13,937 14,361 14,852 15,402 15,376 15,378 15,374

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Education expenses
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Early childhood education 1,355 1,436 1,545 1,644 1,735 1,835 1,871 1,956 2,052 2,120
Primary and secondary schools (see below) 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,773 6,044 6,190 6,449 6,500 6,478 6,626
Tertiary funding (see below) 3,795 4,370 4,027 4,272 4,235 4,097 4,320 4,345 4,356 4,373
Departmental expenses 988 1,039 1,107 1,129 1,112 1,224 1,260 1,258 1,239 1,236
Other education expenses 73 69 71 61 32 95 85 75 63 58
Education expenses 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,879 13,158 13,441 13,985 14,134 14,188 14,413

Source: The Treasury

Number of places provided1 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Early childhood education 166,430 174,853 185,336 195,817 204,853 213,096 222,587 232,997 243,017 252,155
  1. Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: The Ministry of Education

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools
($millions) 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Primary 2,771 2,845 2,812 2,920 3,033 3,120 3,282 3,311 3,298 3,375
Secondary 2,085 2,148 2,146 2,229 2,329 2,374 2,457 2,482 2,479 2,544
School transport 172 175 177 186 185 184 195 190 190 190
Special needs support 323 332 322 336 396 413 418 419 413 419
Professional development 85 84 87 98 96 94 91 92 92 92
Schooling improvement 7 6 6 4 5 5 6 6 6 6
Primary and secondary education expenses 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,773 6,044 6,190 6,449 6,500 6,478 6,626

Source: The Treasury

Number of places provided1 2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
2021
Forecast
Primary 489,799 493,025 497,765 507,132 517,782 524,647 531,348 535,108 535,798 533,484
Secondary 271,078 267,627 266,734 265,557 264,189 270,883 271,131 273,667 277,012 284,099
  1. These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers exclude special school rolls, health camps, hospital schools and home schooling (prior published tables included special school rolls). These estimates include a new entrant adjustment to make provision for the number of new entrants likely to be enrolled between 1 March and 10 October. Actual numbers have been restated to include this adjustment so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: The Ministry of Education

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