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Budget 2017 Home Page Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2017

Forecast Analysis of Expenses by Functional Classification for the years ending 30 June

  2016
Actual
$m
2017
Previous
Budget
$m
2017
Forecast
$m
2018
Forecast
$m
2019
Forecast
$m
2020
Forecast
$m
2021
Forecast
$m

Total Crown expenses

             

By functional classification

             
Social security and welfare 28,901 30,120 30,658 31,577 32,496 34,068 35,324
Health 15,160 15,567 15,726 16,389 16,430 16,462 16,378
Education 13,809 14,235 14,203 14,741 14,882 14,931 15,153
Core government services 3,950 4,874 3,957 4,572 4,213 4,034 3,888
Law and order 3,894 4,062 4,255 4,435 4,537 4,590 4,671
Transport and communications 9,400 9,641 9,340 9,637 9,952 10,141 10,615
Economic and industrial services 7,428 7,551 8,475 7,949 8,416 8,549 8,630
Defence 2,013 2,149 2,137 2,286 2,351 2,362 2,372
Heritage, culture and recreation 2,210 2,401 2,512 2,391 2,409 2,399 2,398
Primary services 1,852 1,961 1,949 1,986 1,970 1,975 2,034
Housing and community development 1,600 1,694 1,987 1,954 1,979 1,938 1,970
Environmental protection 580 719 891 1,012 926 982 984
GSF pension expenses 286 231 233 239 251 263 263
Other 461 439 444 406 401 396 396
Finance costs 4,336 4,566 4,297 4,224 4,115 4,374 4,489
Forecast new operating spending 534 230 293 1,971 3,647 5,383
Top-down expense adjustment (1,025) (450) (1,000) (545) (500) (500)
Total Crown expenses excluding losses 95,880 99,719 100,844 103,091 106,754 110,611 114,448

Below is an analysis of core Crown expenses by functional classification. Core Crown expenses include expenses incurred by Ministers, Departments, Offices of Parliament, the NZS Fund and the Reserve Bank, but not Crown entities and SOEs.

2016
Actual
$m
2017
Previous
Budget
$m
2017
Forecast
$m
2018
Forecast
$m
2019
Forecast
$m
2020
Forecast
$m
2021
Forecast
$m

Core Crown expenses

By functional classification1

Social security and welfare 24,081 25,224 25,412 26,247 27,414 28,199 29,104
Health 15,626 16,214 16,202 17,096 17,225 17,234 17,193
Education 13,158 13,478 13,441 13,985 14,134 14,188 14,413
Core government services 4,102 4,943 4,135 4,843 4,351 4,280 4,144
Law and order 3,648 3,811 3,985 4,119 4,178 4,222 4,278
Transport and communications 2,178 2,358 2,233 2,329 2,344 2,364 2,456
Economic and industrial services 2,107 2,493 2,777 3,001 2,970 2,932 2,948
Defence 2,026 2,177 2,144 2,294 2,360 2,370 2,380
Heritage, culture and recreation 787 855 861 885 875 841 814
Primary services 749 709 715 730 667 653 638
Housing and community development 558 568 640 530 557 519 540
Environmental protection 587 716 893 1,015 929 984 987
GSF pension expenses 271 212 214 220 232 243 243
Other 461 439 444 406 401 396 396
Finance costs 3,590 3,682 3,588 3,493 3,403 3,662 3,806
Forecast new operating spending 534 230 293 1,971 3,647 5,383
Top-down expense adjustment (1,025) (450) (1,000) (545) (500) (500)
Total core Crown expenses excluding losses 73,929 77,388 77,464 80,486 83,466 86,234 89,223
  1. The classifications of the functions of the Government reflect current approved baselines. Forecast new operating spending is shown as a separate line item in the above analysis and will be allocated to functions of the Government once decisions are made in future Budgets.

The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements.

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