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Budget 2016 Home Page Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2016

Core Crown Expense Tables

($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Social security and welfare 21,724 21,956 22,459 23,026 23,523 24,296 25,224 25,703 26,433 27,367
GSF pension expenses 305 192 278 282 358 272 212 220 232 243
Health 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,058 15,635 16,214 16,270 16,344 16,333
Education 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,879 13,215 13,478 13,661 13,705 13,861
Core government services 5,563 5,428 4,294 4,502 4,134 4,446 4,943 4,797 4,626 4,594
Law and order 3,312 3,338 3,394 3,463 3,515 3,691 3,811 3,840 3,796 3,808
Defence 1,809 1,736 1,804 1,811 1,961 2,047 2,177 2,215 2,223 2,231
Transport and communications 2,281 2,232 2,255 2,237 2,291 2,246 2,358 2,382 2,407 2,455
Economic and industrial services 2,542 2,073 1,978 2,058 2,228 2,134 2,493 2,461 2,461 2,504
Heritage, culture and recreation 741 863 804 842 778 794 855 849 838 884
Primary services 706 648 659 676 667 777 709 616 620 620
Housing and community development 943 ( 46) 283 347 320 583 568 526 520 508
Environmental protection 1,225 769 530 533 723 685 716 770 770 789
Other 479 425 603 579 145 512 439 466 462 462
Finance costs 3,066 3,511 3,619 3,620 3,783 3,647 3,682 3,781 3,738 3,743
Forecast new operating spending1  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  2 534 1,847 3,382 4,876
Top-down expense adjustment  ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ( 600) ( 1,025) ( 685) ( 510) ( 460)
Core Crown expenses 70,099 68,939 69,962 71,174 72,363 74,382 77,388 79,719 82,047 84,818
  1. The classifications of the functions of the Government reflect current approved baselines. Forecast new operating spending is shown as a separate line item in the above analysis and will be allocated to functions of the Government once decisions are made in future Budgets.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.1 - Social security and welfare expenses
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Welfare benefits (see below) 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,680 22,481 23,338 23,904 24,654 25,590
Social rehabilitation and compensation 119 81 107 173 142 151 219 163 176 176
Departmental expenses 1,127 1,122 1,168 1,204 1,319 1,366 1,379 1,356 1,323 1,320
Child support impairment ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  5 5 5 5 5
Other non-departmental expenses1 697 378 395 462 382 293 283 275 275 276
Social security and welfare expenses 21,724 21,956 22,459 23,026 23,523 24,296 25,224 25,703 26,433 27,367
  1. Other non-departmental expenses and other expenses include costs associated with the Canterbury earthquakes. This is most representative in the 2011 year. From 2016 some non-departmental expenses spending has been reclassified to community services in housing and community development expenses.

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.2 - Welfare benefit expenses
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 8,830 9,584 10,235 10,913 11,591 12,261 12,912 13,473 14,161 14,916
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit1 ..  ..  ..  1,691 1,684 1,674 1,677 1,614 1,577 1,571
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  ..  1,422 1,515 1,524 1,515 1,493 1,509 1,529
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  ..  1,222 1,186 1,151 1,199 1,189 1,190 1,195
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 1,757 1,811 1,738 63 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 1,306 1,325 1,330 52 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 743 775 782 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit 943 883 812 29 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Family Tax Credit 2,130 2,071 2,018 1,965 1,854 1,824 1,797 1,790 1,772 1,831
Other working for families tax credits 616 599 575 567 549 568 645 639 633 639
Accommodation Assistance 1,197 1,195 1,177 1,146 1,129 1,135 1,149 1,169 1,179 1,184
Income-Related Rents 553 580 611 660 703 766 827 904 979 1,050
Disability Assistance 409 401 384 379 377 377 376 378 379 382
Benefits paid in Australia 40 37 22 19 15 40 ..  ..  ..  .. 
Paid Parental Leave 154 158 165 165 180 233 277 288 297 304
Childcare Assistance 188 188 186 186 183 187 211 207 205 205
Veterans Support Entitlement2 135 128 123 119 115 107 98 92 88 84
Veteran's Pension 178 177 171 165 178 186 177 168 160 151
Other benefits 602 463 460 395 421 448 478 500 525 549
Benefit expenses 19,781 20,375 20,789 21,187 21,680 22,481 23,338 23,904 24,654 25,590

Source: The Treasury

Beneficiary numbers
(Thousands)
2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
New Zealand Superannuation 561 585 612 640 665 691 716 742 768 794
Jobseeker Support and Emergency Benefit1 ..  ..  ..  138 133 130 130 126 120 117
Supported living payment1 ..  ..  ..  96 98 98 97 96 96 95
Sole parent support1 ..  ..  ..  78 72 67 66 66 65 64
Domestic Purposes Benefit1 114 114 109 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Invalid's Benefit1 88 87 87 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Sickness Benefit1 60 60 60 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Unemployment Benefit1 80 73 67 ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  .. 
Accommodation Assistance 320 311 305 297 292 293 296 301 303 303

Source: Ministry of Social Development

  1. From July 2013, changes to the benefit system and existing benefit categories took place. Three new categories of benefit; Supported living payment, Sole parent support and Jobseeker support; have replaced the following existing categories: Domestic Purposes Benefit, Invalid's Benefit, Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit and Widow's Benefit. Owing to the changes, there is no historical data for the new benefit categories and no forecast data for the previous categories beyond July 2013.
  2. From 2015, War Disablement Pensions have been renamed Veterans Support Entitlements.
Table 6.3 - Health expenses
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Departmental outputs 199 186 171 183 190 189 190 189 189 189
Health services purchasing (see below) 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 13,937 14,374 14,884 14,823 14,806 14,797
Other non-departmental outputs 120 119 234 330 312 355 452 462 483 493
Health payments to ACC 849 744 715 694 587 689 658 768 837 826
Other expenses 55 93 30 43 32 28 30 28 29 28
Health expenses 13,753 14,160 14,498 14,898 15,058 15,635 16,214 16,270 16,344 16,333

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.4 - Health services purchasing
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Payments to District Health Boards 11,133 11,542 11,946 12,165 12,414 12,832 13,317 13,289 13,276 13,267
National disability support services 971 1,029 1,028 1,087 1,126 1,167 1,166 1,164 1,164 1,164
Public health services purchasing 426 447 374 396 397 375 401 370 366 366
Health services purchasing 12,530 13,018 13,348 13,648 13,937 14,374 14,884 14,823 14,806 14,797

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.5 - Education expenses
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Early childhood education 1,340 1,355 1,436 1,545 1,644 1,741 1,812 1,860 1,923 1,996
Primary and secondary schools (see below) 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,773 6,077 6,123 6,233 6,202 6,252
Tertiary funding (see below) 3,991 3,795 4,370 4,027 4,272 4,183 4,327 4,354 4,359 4,378
Departmental expenses 923 988 1,039 1,107 1,129 1,124 1,131 1,138 1,154 1,175
Other education expenses 42 73 69 71 61 90 85 76 67 60
Education expenses 11,650 11,654 12,504 12,300 12,879 13,215 13,478 13,661 13,705 13,861

Source: The Treasury

Number of places provided1 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Early childhood education 159,997 166,434 174,782 183,843 190,423 201,908 211,808 217,862 226,331 235,906
  1. Full-time equivalent based on 1,000 funded child hours per calendar year. Note that historical place numbers have been revised so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: Ministry of Education

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools
($millions) 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Primary 2,731 2,771 2,845 2,812 2,920 3,051 3,097 3,150 3,132 3,153
Secondary 2,051 2,085 2,148 2,146 2,229 2,338 2,337 2,387 2,382 2,408
School transport 163 172 175 177 186 186 190 197 192 192
Special needs support 310 323 332 322 336 397 400 403 398 401
Professional development 90 85 84 87 98 100 94 91 92 92
Schooling improvement 9 7 6 6 4 5 5 5 6 6
Primary and secondary education expenses 5,354 5,443 5,590 5,550 5,773 6,077 6,123 6,233 6,202 6,252

Source: The Treasury

Table 6.6 - Primary and secondary schools (continued)
Number of places provided1 2011
Actual
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Forecast
2017
Forecast
2018
Forecast
2019
Forecast
2020
Forecast
Primary 489,275 489,799 493,025 497,765 507,132 513,267 516,456 518,065 517,510 515,769
Secondary 274,518 271,078 267,627 266,734 265,557 274,163 273,775 273,228 274,268 277,882
  1. These are snapshots based as at 1 July for primary year levels (years 1 to 8) and 1 March for secondary year levels (years 9 to 13). These numbers exclude special school rolls, health camps, hospital schools and home schooling (prior published tables included special school rolls). These estimates include a new entrant adjustment to make provision for the number of new entrants likely to be enrolled between 1 March and 10 October. Actual numbers have been restated to include this adjustment so may differ from previous published Economic and Fiscal Update numbers.

Source: Ministry of Education

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