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Budget 2013 Home Page Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2013

Data tables for summary fiscal indicators (continued)

Table 16 - Core Crown fiscal impulse with alternative output gap and elasticity values (% of GDP)
June year Fiscal impulse Fiscal impulse using alternative output gaps Fiscal impulse using alternative elasticities
RBNZ IMF OECD Low High
1998 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 -0.5
1999 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.7
2000 0.6 0.6 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 1.5
2001 -1.3 -1.1 -0.4 -0.5 -1.0 -1.8
2002 -0.8 -0.6 -0.8 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6
2003 -0.3 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.1
2004 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8
2005 -1.7 -1.7 -1.4 -1.5 -1.7 -1.7
2006 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6
2007 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8
2008 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
2009 3.5 3.4 4.0 4.1 4.1 2.4
2010 2.1 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0
2011 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.4
2012 -0.6 -0.4 -0.6 -0.9 -0.7 -0.5
2013 -0.8 -0.9 -0.8 -1.0 -0.9 -0.6
2014 -0.5 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4
2015 -1.2 -1.2     -1.3 -1.1
2016 -0.9 -1.1     -0.9 -0.9
2017 -0.7       -0.7 -0.7

Source: The Treasury

Table 17 - Terms-of-trade adjustment to the cyclically-adjusted balance (% of GDP)
June year Baseline CAB Terms-of-trade adjustment (impact on CAB) CAB with terms-of-trade adjustment
50-year
average
30-year
average
20-year
average
Statistical
filter
50-year
average
30-year
average
20-year
average
Statistical
filter
1998 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.0 2.9 2.7 3.1 2.6
1999 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.0
2000 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.3
2001 1.5 0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.2 1.7 1.4 2.0 1.3
2002 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.3 2.0 2.6 2.1
2003 3.1 0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.2 3.2 3.0 3.5 3.3
2004 3.1 -0.6 -0.8 -0.3 -0.3 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.8
2005 4.0 -0.8 -1.1 -0.6 -0.3 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.6
2006 3.7 -0.5 -0.8 -0.3 0.2 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.8
2007 2.3 -0.9 -1.1 -0.6 0.0 1.4 1.1 1.6 2.3
2008 1.9 -2.0 -2.3 -1.7 -0.9 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 1.0
2009 -1.5 -1.1 -1.4 -0.8 0.2 -2.6 -2.9 -2.4 -1.4
2010 -2.6 -1.2 -1.4 -1.0 0.0 -3.8 -4.1 -3.6 -2.6
2011 -3.7 -1.9 -2.2 -1.6 -0.3 -5.5 -5.9 -5.3 -4.0
2012 -2.8 -1.6 -1.9 -1.4 0.0 -4.4 -4.7 -4.2 -2.8
2013 -1.8 -1.3 -1.5 -1.1 0.3 -3.1 -3.4 -2.9 -1.6
2014 -0.7 -2.0 -2.3 -1.8 -0.3 -2.7 -3.0 -2.5 -1.0
2015 0.1 -2.1 -2.3 -1.9 -0.3 -2.0 -2.3 -1.8 -0.2
2016 0.3 -2.2 -2.5 -2.0 -0.2 -1.9 -2.2 -1.7 0.0
2017 1.0 -2.1 -2.4 -1.9 0.1 -1.1 -1.4 -0.8 1.1

Source: The Treasury

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